Welcome to RBR's Daily Epaper
Volume 21, Issue 190, Jim Carnegie, Editor & Publisher
Wednesday Morning September 29th, 2004

Radio News ®

Smulyan upbeat, but says Emmis
can't buck the economy
Emmis Communications didn't miss its fiscal Q2 guidance target for radio as Wachovia Securities analyst Jim Boyle had warned and CEO Jeff Smulyan is confident that the company's radio and TV groups will outperform their markets again in the current quarter. While he admits there are concerns because of the choppy economy and new media competitors, Smulyan said "reports of the demise of over-the-air radio and television are greatly exaggerated."

RBR observation: Times are tough, and as Smulyan noted, his company can't buck the direction of the US economy. But Emmis does have some things going right for it which don't necessarily extend to the entire broadcast industry. In New York, in particular, Emmis Radio is on a roll, with Barry Mayo & Co. cranking up the volume. Saying he didn't want to jinx anything, Smulyan nonetheless couldn't resist mentioning that WRKS-FM "Kiss-FM" is on track to topple Clear Channel's WLTW-FM from its long-held spot #1 and reclaim the title that Kiss once held for many years. Meanwhile, WQHT-FM "Hot 97" is rebuilding its morning show around "Miss Jones" and fighting in court to enforce its non-compete against "Star and Buc Wild," who are now in the Clear Channel stable (and on the air in Hartford and Philly). | More... |

Emmis says it is raising rates
Other companies may be talking about the need to push ad rates higher, but Emmis says it has been doing so already - - for the past year and a half. "For radio in the second quarter, I'm very, very proud to talk about the fact now that for six quarters Emmis' radio has had rates that have been up year-over-year, whereas sellout rates have been down. This has been one of the greatest contributions to our performance in terms of our margins," said CFO Walter Berger. "Whereas other people talk about their strategy of doing this, I think Emmis has great credibility in its ability to have done this now for almost a year and a half to two years." The CFO said Emmis raised its radio rates by 4% in the Jun-August quarter, while it sold 2% less inventory. For TV, ad rates were up 8% while the sellout rate was up only 0.5%. The auto sector continues to be soft for radio. Emmis Radio President Rick Cummings said he's not seeing any auto pickup in Q4. He said that while his stations are holding their own with local dealers, the dropoff has come in national spot advertising for the auto sector. Meanwhile, auto advertising was up 2% in the past quarter for Emmis Television.

Profs, tankers bat around ownership regs
As was to be expected, yesterday's session on media ownership at the Senate Commerce Committee focused on the philosophical underpinnings of the argument. The question boils down to this: Where is the point at which the principals of an open market and the need for regulation meet? | More... |


Poll: CBS made an "honest mistake"
What does John Q. Public think of the scandal that has engulfed CBS News? According to a USA today/CNN/Gallup Poll, 56% of the people surveyed said Dan Rather and CBS made an honest mistake in reporting on memos about President Bush's National Guard service that now appear to have been fakes. Asked if CBS should fire Rather over the incident, 64% said no. And despite all of the perceived negative public reaction to journalism in general, 52% said they had a positive view of media accuracy. On the other hand, 47% had a negative view - - which is still a pretty big number.

NAB attacks travail of the tape
The National Association of Broadcasters has sent in its reply comments per the FCC's request for same in its look at establishing a taping requirement to help it enforce indecency regulation. NAB notes solid arguments by many against such a requirement, and little coherent support in favor. Dealing with the pro-tape commenters, NAB can point to the recent raft of fines for indecent broadcasts as evidence that the FCC is well able to enforce the rules without such an onerous and constitutionally suspect station reg. It found other comments, like those of Morality in Media, to be "rife with errors or irrelevancies," first and foremost, whether or not indecent speech is protected by the First Amendment. MIM says it isn't, but the Supreme Court says it is. "The overwhelming majority of commenters in this proceeding have opposed the proposed recording requirement on a number of sound legal and policy ground," NAB concluded. "In light of these convincing arguments and the striking absence of support for the proposal, the Commission must refrain from adopting it. Imposing an exceptionally overbroad, unnecessary, burdensome, and legally and constitutionally suspect mandate on thousands of television and radio stations in the face of overwhelming evidence against the proposal would be the epitome of arbitrary and capricious rulemaking."

FCC kicking off big DTV push
FCC Chairman Michael Powell, along with representatives from virtually every high-profile corner of the electronic video programming business, will meet with the press Monday 10/4/04 in an event designed to push public awareness and acceptance of high definition television. Representatives from ESPN, FOX, CBS, HBO, Dicovery, NCTA, CEA, DirecTV and Emmis Communications will be on hand to discuss HDTV programming from the consumer angle. Meanwhile, the LA Times reports that Powell is planning to put the so-called Ferree plan to a vote before year's end, despite the fact that a similar measure just recently went down in flames in the Senate Commerce Committee. The plan would make 1/1/09 the day all analog television spectrum must be returned to the government. Some of the returned spectrum would go to public safety organizations and some would be auctioned off to other services.


Conference Calls, Q3 2004

Emmis hits its numbers
Results for its fiscal Q2 (June-August) came in right about where Emmis had told Wall Street to expect them to be. Total radio revenues (domestic and foreign) were up 5% to 86.4 million, beating the 85.9 million mark that the company had set for itself. Looking strictly at Emmis' US stations, revenues were up 3.3% to 81.6 million, with the rest of the gain coming from a 38% jump in overseas revenues to 4.8 million. TV revenues were up 10% to 61.4M, just a hair below the 61.9 million target. Company officials said Emmis' station significantly outperformed their markets, particularly in radio. CFO Walter Berger said national spot revenues were down 4% in Emmis' markets for the quarter, but its stations were only down 1%, and that while local sales were down 1% for the markets Emmis is in, its stations were up 4%. For the current quarter, which ends November 30th, Emmis is projection that total radio revenues (domestic and foreign) will be up 2.4% to 77.3 million, which Berger says is about 300 basis points (3 percentage points) better than its markets. In other words, Emmis thinks its stations will be up while its markets will be down slightly - - which doesn't bode well for some of its competitors. With the hottest portion of the election season falling in this quarter, TV revenues are expected to be up about 14% to 72 million.


Adbiz ©

Toyota unveils new branding message:
"Moving Forward"

Toyota's new brand message, "Moving Forward" debuted yesterday with spots during evening network TV programming and will be rolled out as a motivational theme for dealers and Toyota employees. | More... |

Toyota enlists former GM exec
for "Moving Forward"
Toyota's new "Moving Forward" tag had help from a valuable source--a former GM marketing exec who led the Chevrolet brand. Toyota enlisted Kurt Ritter, who led the brand during its successful "Like a Rock" campaign. Ritter quit GM last year after 32 years with the automaker to direct Toyota's North American marketing efforts at Saatchi & Saatchi. His move came just as Toyota was gearing up for a renewed attack on the U.S. pickup truck market. As a consultant on the new Toyota campaign, Ritter "was involved in everything," said Jim Lentz, Toyota Group VP/Marketing. With the new campaign, Toyota will increase its U.S. ad spending slightly, Lentz said. Toyota spent an estimated 2 billion on advertising in the US last year, up from 1.8 billion in 2002, according to TNS Media Intelligence/CMR.

Oink Ink Radio produces ads for "Jeopardy"
Oink Ink Radio, a national radio ad agency with offices in NYC and LA, just completed its most recent radio effort for long-time client King World Productions. Oink Ink created and produced five musical performance-based radio ads for the theme song of the popular and long-running syndicated game show "Jeopardy!." Interesting musical performers were garnered for the campaign, including Calloway Brooks, grandson of legendary Jazz musician Cab Calloway and leader of the Cab Calloway Orchestra, Australian dobro player Tug McGraw and 75 year-old accordion player Frank Marocco. The Cab Calloway Orchestra recently recorded their ad in New York City. "We thought it would be interesting to find out how musical performers from around the world play the 'Jeopardy!' theme song," said Dan Price, President of Oink Ink Radio. "What we wanted was a unique musical style and flair for one of the most recognizable tunes in TV history." Casey Chester produced of all the "Jeopardy!" spots, and Gary Chester is the engineer who mixed The Cab Calloway Orchestra track.

AWRT and RAB team for PSA campaign
AWRT Empowering America, the third in a series of inspirational 60-second PSAs from the Foundation of AWRT, the philanthropic arm of American Women in Radio and Television (AWRT), and the RAB are now available for download from www.awrt.org and www.rab.com. The PSAs are the third in a series of inspirational vignettes and are a key component of AWRT's nationwide campaign celebrating the contributions that women have made to the American experience. AWRT Empowering America is made possible through the generous support of the Foundation of AT&T and Wal-Mart Women's Diversity Initiative. Narrated by Mary Hart, co-anchor of Entertainment Tonight, the PSAs relate stories of female American heroes in a way that is designed to spark interest and provide inspiration to radio listeners. Each PSA conveys the personal story of one of America's great women and focuses on their tale of empowerment and success.


Media, Markets & Money tm

Cumulus sets stock buyback
Lew Dickey is the latest radio CEO to look at his company's sinking stock price and decide that a good use of free cash flow is to buy back some of those bargain-basement shares. The board of directors of Cumulus Media has given management the go-ahead to buy back up to 100 million dollars of the company's stock, with no particular timetable for making the purchases. Cumulus also notes that its credit agreements require it to get an OK from its lenders if its stock repurchases exceed 15 million. "Our repurchase program demonstrates the continued confidence of the board of directors in the future of Cumulus and our continued belief that, based upon our assessment of the future prospects of the Company, our shares are undervalued. The board feels strongly that repurchasing our shares offers an excellent opportunity to enhance the long-term interests of the Company and our stockholders," said Dickey in announcing the buyback plan.

BU RI AM on QT
Boston University has decided to shelve plans to sell its Rhode Island AM stations - - temporarily, at least - - until it has a chance to deal with officials from that state who have raised objections to the plan, according to the Boston Globe. WRNI-AM Providence and WXNI-AM Westerly as owned by BU, whose flagship is WBUR-FM Boston. The AMs provide NPR programming to Rhode Island, and many there are complaining that they've raised extensive funding - - they say to the tune of 3.5M dollars. Both the attorney general and the governor of the state have gotten involved.

Every little breeze seems to whisper no freeze
We haven't heard anything definitive, but the little birdies in the area are twittering along the lines that the current temporary freeze on the sale of commercial radio stations will be lifted next week.


Washington Beat

CPB goes Native
The Corporation for Public Broadcasting has approved a grant which officially establishes the Center for Native American Radio. It will be used to support noncommercial Native American radio stations throughout the US. John McCain (R-AZ), whose state is home to 30 such stations serving some 500K listeners, said, "The Center will serve to promote Native American public radio stations and enable more Native American listeners to be reached, particularly those who reside on reservations and are unable to receive other broadcast stations." By the way, McCain is said to be stepping down as chair of the Commerce Committee (he'll stay on as a member), and hopes to chair the Committee for Indian Affairs, which is opening up due to the retirement of Ben Nighthorse Campbell (R-CO).


Ratings & Research

Listeners feel at home with local radio
Paragon Media Strategies recently surveyed 405 respondents aged 15-64 (43% male / 57% female) who listen to the radio to explore radio listeners' preferences for radio stations' involvement in their communities. Findings say three out of four radio listeners feel it is important that the radio stations they listen to have a presence in their community; and one-third of radio listeners prefer more radio station involvement in their communities. The study can be found at www.paragonmediastrategies.com.

Mediaguide launching new
monitor airplay reporting products
Mediaguide announced the introduction of a new and enhanced product portfolio. In addition to real-time measurement verification of broadcast spots, the new product line-up includes "MusicMonitor," specifically designed for music industry pros such as record label managers, promoters and music distributors, and "ArtistMonitor," specifically designed for independent artists and those who manage them. Together, MusicMonitor and ArtistMonitor offer information products for each component of artist success across non-comm, commercial and crossover radio. "StationMonitor" will provide PDs and GMs a tool to better understand competitor, tastemaker, and format-wide airplay trends. "SongMonitor" is specifically designed for individual songwriters, composers and music publishers to track the performance of music compositions. This product is a significant contributor to ASCAP's enhanced broadcast monitoring and distribution system for its 195,000 music creators to be launched in early 2005. The Mediaguide Monitor platform features weekly airplay charts covering top songs and albums across college, non-comm and commercial radio. "More than ever, industry professionals want a complete picture of who's receiving airplay, what's powering tastes, emerging artists and the competitive landscape," says George Searle, CEO. "By creating and offering these custom products, Mediaguide is providing these professionals with the timely and actionable information they need, delivered in the way they want it." Mediaguide currently provides real-time measurement and reporting of nearly 2,500 radio and TV stations' programming across more than 200 US markets.


Transactions

KZAB-FM & KZBA-FM Los Angeles (Redondo Beach, Ontario CA) from Spanish Broadcasting System to Styles Media Group LLC.

KKAA-AM & KQKD-AM Aberdeen SD (Aberdeen, Redfield SD) from Aberdeen Radio Ranch to Family Stations Inc.

| More Details |


Stock Talk

Stocks rise along with oil
Stock prices closed higher on Tuesday, despite another increase in the price of oil and a report from the Conference Board that its Consumer Confidence Index fell for the second straight month. Energy stocks had a good day, but other stocks were slightly higher as well, with traders shrugging off the bad news to bet on a bright economic future. The Dow Industrials rose 89 points, or 0.9%, to close back above the 10K mark at 10,077.

Radio stocks were slightly higher. The Radio Index rose 0.700, or 0.3%, to 209.788. Cumulus jumped 5.6% after announcing a stock buyback program. Emmis was off 0.3% after reporting quarterly results in line with expectations, but giving guidance pointing to slower growth.


Radio Stocks

Here's how stocks fared on Tuesday

Company Symbol Close Change Company Symbol Close Change

Arbitron

ARB

36.05

-0.25

Jeff-Pilot

JP

48.76

+0.09

Beasley

BBGI

15.52

+0.08

Journal Comm.

JRN

17.58

-0.06

Citadel CDL
12.64 -0.24

Radio One, Cl. A

ROIA

14.21

+0.02

Clear Channel

CCU

31.87

-0.56

Radio One, Cl. D

ROIAK

14.08

-0.05

Cox Radio

CXR

14.81

+0.06

Regent

RGCI

5.55

+0.01

Cumulus

CMLS

14.58

+0.78

Saga Commun.

SGA

17.56

+0.31

Disney

DIS

22.60

-0.57

Salem Comm.

SALM

25.33

+0.24

Emmis

EMMS

17.86

-0.06

Sirius Sat. Radio

SIRI

2.65

-0.08

Entercom

ETM

32.79

-0.21

Spanish Bcg.

SBSA

9.26

+0.26

Entravision

EVC

7.61

-0.03

Univision

UVN

31.19

-0.56

Fisher

FSCI

47.95

+0.66

Viacom, Cl. A

VIA

33.10

-0.44

Gaylord

GET

30.98

+0.37

Viacom, Cl. B

VIAb

32.63

-0.48

Hearst-Argyle

HTV

23.98

-0.02

Westwood One

WON

19.21

-0.29

Interep

IREP

0.66

-0.01

XM Sat. Radio

XMSR

30.14

-0.05

International Bcg.

IBCS

0.02

unch

-

-

-

-

-


Have a news story you'd like to share? radionews@rbr.com

Bounceback

We want to
hear from you.

This is your column, so send your comments to radionews@rbr.com


Arbitrends

ArbitronMarket Results
| Albany |
| Charlotte |
| Honolulu |
| Las Vegas |
| San Antonio |


Upped & Tapped

Miller jumps to Beasley
Former KNCI-FM Sacramento Promotions Director Brad Miller has jumped from Infinity to Beasley as Promotions Director of the company's three-station cluster in Las Vegas - - KSTJ-FM, KJUL-FM & KKLZ-FM.


More News Headlines

NAB Day Time Planner


The following brokers will be attending the NAB. Call or email to make your appointment in advance.

American Media Services,
Todd Fowler, Office 843-972-2200, Manchester Grand Hyatt, tfowler@ams.fm

Cobb Corp.,
Denis LeClair denisleclair@cobbcorp.tv
Joel B. Day
joelday@cobbcorp.tv
Office 202-478-3737,
Manchester Grand Hyatt

Gordon Rice Associates,
Gordon Rice,
Office 843-884-3590,
Manchester Grand Hyatt,
Gordon@gordonriceassociates.com

John Pierce & Company LLC,
John Pierce, cell 859-512-3015,
Jamie Rasnick, cell 513-252-1186, Office 859-647-0101,
Manchester Grand Hyatt,
info@johnpierceco.com

Kozacko Media Services,
Dick Kozacko,
Office 607-733-7138,
Cell 607-738-1219,
Manchester Grand Hyatt, rkozacko@stny.rr.com

Patrick Communications,
Larry Patrick, Greg Guy
Office 410-740-0250,
Manchester Grand Hyatt, michele@patcomm.com




September Digital Magazine

Complimentary Report
One on One
PHD's
Patrick McNew
The man who controls
the Chrysler Group auto bucks

Quarterly Deals:
4.1 Billion spent on broadcast properties since the thaw
RBR/TVBR Observation:
Where is action? We got it.

Less is More
CCU's already meaning less with syndicators and nets.

Read RBR in 2 simple steps:
1.Create a simple account with Zinio and download the free Zinio Reader.
2. You can then download the free September Issue of RBR


RBR Radar 2004
Click on these issues for Radio News you won't read any where else. RBR--First, Accurate, and Independently Owned.

Westerfield slashes 2005
ad spending outlook
Saying that the US advertising market is "backsliding" into 2005, Harris Nesbitt analyst Lee Westerfield has slashed his forecast of US ad spending growth in 2005 to 3.7% in 2005. Television, excluding political ad spending, spot TV is pacing down 5% for Q4. After November 2, the focus will be solely on ex-political spot ad growth." Thus, for 2005 expecting spot TV to be down 4.9% against actual 2004 numbers (or up 1% excluding political) after being up 10.9% this year. Radio, national spot data he's been tracing indicates that national spot for radio will be down 5-7% in Q3 and 7-9% in Q4. Radio is estimated over all will be up 2.4% in 2004 and 2.8% in 2005.
Publisher observation: Don't know how many times I have to say this but Local and get involved with your communities. GM's have the worst job in this business. No, now let's make that the analysts because the GM's have cut everything to the bone and can't get any more blood from any stone. So now the winds of Naples, Florida now seeing four straight hurricanes in a row and hurricane season doesn't end until November 30th. The giant owners, now is the time to focus if you plan to divest and find the willing local entrepreneur to purchase what you offer. My follow up called Naples, FL Pt 2 - here is my point number 9 "Stop sucking up to Wall St. They are moving on anyway. Take your big time cash flow and go private. Radio is no longer capable of the growth they want anyway. We were better without them. A few are rich, most are not." 09/28/04 RBR #189

Campbell's integrates
in NBC's "American Dreams"
NBC, Campbell's Soup and Scholastic Magazine asked younger viewers to get creative 9/26 by entering an essay contest to promote NBC's 1960s drama "American Dreams." Campbell's is promoting the show and the contest (which offers a grand prize of a 100,000 college scholarship and walk-on roles for the winner and a friend) on 42 million tomato soup cans, and in print, radio and TV advertising. In return, Campbell's is being integrated into numerous episodes of the series.
RBR observation: For those who viewed the season premiere of American Dreams saw a perfect blend of product content into programming and that is where we will see more ad dollars heading. The ad, well, it was the 1960's Campbell's tomato soup Mmm Mmm Good. Now, if a local radio station, say oldies personality, and the local NBC-TV can just get together when many local NBC affiliates run their live in-house show, you have a winner. We figure it is going to take a TV guy with Radio experience to get it done. Better start working on it like now because again local content is King.
09/28/04 RBR #189

Arbitron issues
RADAR 82 overview
Radio retained its position as a mainstay medium over the past year, reaching all demographics in all locations, both in and out of home, according to the latest total radio listening estimates compiled by Arbitron's RADAR network radio audience measurement service. Initial findings indicate that, over the course of a typical week, radio reached 95 percent of Persons 18+ who live in a household with an income of 75,000+. 95% of college grads listened to radio, as compared to only 92% of people who did not go to college. Sporting News Radio Networks has been added to the roster of RADAR-rated radio networks. RADAR is the standard currency for national network radio ratings, measuring 47 individual radio networks. Some networks in RADAR are ABC Radio Networks, Crystal Media Networks, Dial Communications - Global Media, Inc., Jones MediaAmerica Inc Sporting News Radio Network.
09/28/04 RBR #189

Interep's Pine dissects
the Barron's story
Greater Media CEO Peter Smyth isn't the only one taking Barron's to task for its recent cover story contending that radio is on the way to its demise. At Interep, Co-President George Pine has taken each of the main points of the original article and provided Barron's with his own analysis.
RBR observation: George is right that Barron's overstated the threat to radio from new media competitors and misinterpreted audience data. But radio does have problems - - mostly self-inflicted. If you didn't read Jim Carnegie's "Naples is Calling" Publisher's Perspective in May RBR Solutions Magazine, it's time to read the infamous article that set the ball rolling. Check it out here. Clear Channel's "More is Less" campaign is a step in the right direction, but it only deals with one of the problems. 09/27/04 RBR #188


General Sales Manager
WCBS-FM, NYC the Big Apple, a legendary station where it doesn't get any better than this. GSM with at least 5 years of radio sales management experience. Must be creative, motivating, and a strong team oriented person. Supervise the Local & Retail Sales Managers, plus many other sales departments.

See
Radio Careers for more info on this once in a lifetime shot.
Find Your Radio Career
Post Your Companies Job Openings

Other Links
Cancel RBR's Daily Epaper

State Associations
Contact Us

©2004 Radio Business Report/Television Business Report, Inc. All rights reserved.
Radio Business Report 6208-B Old Franconia Rd. Alexandria, VA 22310 - Phone: 703 719 9500