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2005: A year best forgotten

Wall Street traders beat up on radio stocks in 2005 - - and not without justification. With only one month left to be reported, the RAB said that radio revenues were flat through November (12/28/05 RBR #251) - - a worse showing than even the most pessimistic forecasters had been looking for as the year began. Of the 28 terrestrial and satellite radio stocks reported daily by RBR, only four managed to post growth in 2005. Jefferson-Pilot, which is primarily an insurance company, rose on a deal to sell the entire company to Lincoln National. Emmis Communications rose because it spent much of the year selling off its TV assets, with a couple of deals yet to be announced. Gaylord, which is barely even in radio any more with a single AM station, rose on the strength of its hotel business. So, of the four gainers, the only one to move up on the strength of its broadcast performance was Univision - - and it rose only 0.4% for the year. RBR's Radio Index began falling in January and never looked back. By the time the year was over, our index of 15 companies whose main business is radio had fallen 21.1%. The year's worst performers were Spanish Broadcasting System, which plunged 51.6% as investors punished the radio company severely for announcing plans to enter TV as well, and Interep, a penny stock which dropped 52% in the face of a terrible year for national sales and some prominent client defections. Read 'em and weep.

2005 radio stock performance

Radio

12/31/04

12/30/05

2005

2005

Company

Close

Close

Net Chg

Pct Chg

Jefferson-Pilot

51.96

56.93

4.97

9.57%

Gaylord

41.53

43.59

2.06

4.96%

Emmis

19.19

19.91

0.72

3.75%

Univision

29.27

29.39

0.12

0.41%

Arbitron

39.18

37.98

-1.20

-3.06%

Clear Channel

33.49

31.45

-2.04

-6.09%

Hearst-Argyle

26.38

23.85

-2.53

-9.59%

Viacom, Cl. B

36.39

32.60

-3.79

-10.41%

Viacom, Cl. A

37.08

32.76

-4.32

-11.65%

Sirius

7.62

6.70

-0.92

-12.07%

Regent

5.30

4.64

-0.66

-12.45%

Disney

27.80

23.97

-3.83

-13.78%

Cox Radio

16.48

14.08

-2.40

-14.56%

Entravision

8.35

7.12

-1.23

-14.73%

Fisher

48.88

41.43

-7.45

-15.24%

Citadel

16.18

13.44

-2.74

-16.93%

Entercom

35.89

29.67

-6.22

-17.33%

Cumulus

15.08

12.41

-2.67

-17.71%

Journal

18.07

13.95

-4.12

-22.80%

Beasley

17.53

13.51

-4.02

-22.93%

XM

37.62

27.28

-10.34

-27.49%

Salem

24.95

17.49

-7.46

-29.90%

Saga

16.85

10.87

-5.98

-35.49%

Radio One, Cl. D

16.12

10.35

-5.77

-35.79%

Radio One, Cl. A

16.10

10.27

-5.83

-36.21%

Westwood One

26.93

16.30

-10.63

-39.47%

SBS

10.56

5.11

-5.45

-51.61%

Interep

0.75

0.36

-0.39

-52.00%

Radio Index

229.85

181.30

-48.55

-21.12%





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