Welcome to TVBR's Daily Epaper
Volume 21, Issue 194, Jim Carnegie, Editor & Publisher
Tuesday Morning October 5th, 2004

TV News ®

Rivals come to Rather's defense
They may be competitors, but at a weekend joint appearance to talk about the presidential campaign, both ABC's Peter Jennings and NBC's Tom Brokaw used the occasion to defend CBS' Dan Rather against calls for his firing based on his "60 Minutes Wednesday" report on President Bush's National Guard service using documents now believed to be fakes. "I don't think you ever judge a man by only one event in his career," Jennings said, drawing loud applause from the audience at the New York Public Library. According to the New York Times, the comment surprised Rather - - that his eyes moistened and he whispered, "Thank you, Peter." Brokaw then followed by taking issue with the efforts by conservative bloggers and websites to take down the CBS anchor. "What I think is highly inappropriate is what's going on across the Internet - - a kind of political jihad against Dan Rather and CBS News that's quite outrageous," Brokaw said. With Brokaw retiring from the anchor chair next month at age 64, the question did come up of when Rather, who is 72, might exit voluntarily. "Sure, I have thoughts about stepping down," he admitted, but said he intends to continue as long as he enjoys the work and his employer approves of his efforts. "I don't have a date, I don't have a time frame," he said.

Fox asks FCC to reject license challenges in DC
Fox Television Stations has asked the FCC to reject the two license challenges to its O&O stations in DC, WTTG-TV and UPN WDCA-TV. Fox tells the Commission it should immediately renew its license for WTTG and reject the challenge by Parent's Television Council, which alleged indecent content. Fox said PTC didn't demonstrate it has standing to object to a renewal application and it has shown that the complaint about an episode of Keen Eddie on black market traffic in horse semen and other programs is "entirely without merit." Fox adds that delaying the renewal would prejudice WTTG, which it argues has a "superlative record of serving its local community." Fox also said it has received no letter of inquiry from the FCC on any of the complaints, and that the commission should not delay the grant of WTTG's renewal on the basis of complaints that Fox Television Stations has not even been made aware of.

Emmis, Bonneville pull a blockbuster swap
Cash, licenses and no small amount of radio station hardware will be changing hands as Bonneville sends WLUP-FM Chicago and 70M dollars to Emmis in exchange for three stations in Phoenix. All told, TVBR estimates 210M in value is going in each direction. Bonneville, while retaining four FMs in the Windy City, gains entry into another top-20 market, getting AC KKLT-FM, Newser KTAR-AM and Sports KMVP-AM. Emmis paid 160M for the stations back in spring 2001 and says its banking a profit of 50M, making the TVBR estimate the result of an extremely simple arithmetical operation. Emmis will have a double-barreled Rockopoly in Chicago when it teams WLUP with its WKQX-FM. The swap for the three Phoenix stations, minus the 70M in cash, which Emmis plans to use to pay down debt, yields a value of 140M for the Loop. Emmis said WLUP is projected to earn 11.6M this year against operating expenses of 8.2M. The three Phoenix stations expect to generate 29.8M against either 19M or 19.6M, depending on whether or not non-cash compensation is included on the expenwse side.

TVBR observation: Is the dealing done? We don't think so. Emmis retains what is now an orphan in the age of consolidation. That would be KKFR-FM in Phoenix. We will not be at all surprised to see the Urban Contemporary outlet sod to either an in-market owner or a format specialist. Radio One, are you reading this?


FCC tries to pull consumers into DTV
"DTV - - Get it!" is the theme of FCC Chairman Michael Powell's new initiative to tug the American viewer into the digital TV transition. A new web portal - - www.dtv.gov - - has been launched as a one-stop information source for consumers ready to take the plunge. "Although for the vast majority of American households, digital television may be uncharted territory, we will not let them go it alone," said Powell. "If you have questions about digital television, the FCC is ready to serve as a primary resource for quick answers. Then we hope they will get DTV - - get the set, get the connection, get the content." The Consumer Electronic Association (CEA) and the Consumer Electronics Retailers Coalition (CERC) are also part of the effort, putting out a DTV TIP Sheet which will be distributed at various relevant retail outlets.

TVBR observation: Ok Mr. Powell since you will not let consumers go it alone how about shipping us three digital sets but no smaller than 35 inch flat screen. Education is important but it will not come from a dot gov website. NAB President/CEO Eddie Fritts said it the best in April 2002, DTV, then, is a consumer driven product. His statement still holds true today. Again, another major issue RBR & TVBR Solutions Magazine investigates in our December 2005 outlook report.

Watchdogs pouring on the
anti-indecency heat
Morality in Media (MIM) and the Parents Television Council (PTC) are doing all they assure that heightened indecency fines survive as an attachment to a defense authorization bill. MIM in particular is circulating a letter to gather signatures, prior to sending it to members of the Senate. PTC says it caught an unbleeped "f" word going out over the air on CBS's "Big Brother" 9/17/04. PTC's website is set up as a launching pad for FCC complaints about the matter. To rally the troops, the MIM effort cites the Big Brother incident, and recalls Janet Jackson and Bono for good measure. "There is no question that these violations are becoming more prevalent," says the MIM letter to citizens. "It is clear that the networks are either unwilling or unable to police themselves. Though the FCC has worked hard to toughen its enforcement efforts, too small fines have too little impact. We need to get the Congress to increase FCC fines now."

Campaign ad watch
A new political ad campaign is taking off. You won't be adding any cash to your coffers if this campaign comes knocking on your door, but you will get to put Jennifer Aniston over your own local airwaves for free. Aniston is starring in a get-out-the-vote PSA aimed at the 22M single women who were eligible, yet failed to vote in 2000. Non-partisan, non-profit Women's Voices is the force behind the PSA, and it is utterly non-partisan (unless you want to guess at which candidate is most likely to benefit from the votes of this particular demographic). Aniston asks women if they'd let someone else choose the clothes, their friends, their husband, then asks why they should let someone else choose their president. The spot kicks off on E! and will be made available nationwide Wednesday 10/6/04.


Adbiz ©

RADAR 82:
ABC Daytime Direction on top again
Arbitron has released RADAR 82 covering June 26, 2003 - June 23, 2004. Sporting News Radio Network has been added to the roster of RADAR-rated nets, bringing the total number of measured networks to 47. As par for the RADAR course, ABC Radio Networks' ABC Daytime Direction on was top again. Also par for the course these days is the increasing number of special tabs--22 from ABC, AURN, Crystal, Dial-Global, Premiere and Westwood were added to 82. Says Dr. Tom Evans, SVP/Research at ABC Radio Networks: "Thanks to the flexibility of RADAR, special tabulations can provide audience estimates for all of the changes occurring in network radio. RADAR 82 is like watching 'The Lord of the Rings' Trilogy. You see one film at a time knowing that more is coming. We will evaulate RADAR 82, but can expect changes due to reconfigurations, new networks, and more affiliations that will be reported with special tabulations. My only concern is that the large number of Special Tabulations ordered for RADAR 82 does not confuse the marketplace." With ever-increasing reliability and predictability, RADAR's sample was at 75,000, the highest ever. Overall, Gross Impressions (GIs) were down slightly. There was some slight audience movement: one double-digit increase & three double-digit decreases. However, half of networks' changes were within three percentage points.
| More... |

DDB reportedly wins Subaru
Subaru of America is announcing that DDB Worldwide NY, has won the company's creative and media account. TM, Dallas, was the creative incumbent and Universal McCann, NY, was the media incumbent. DDB beat Martin, Richmond, VA, Berlin Cameron/Red Cell NY and McCann Erickson NY. The search consultant was AAR Partners, NY. Ad spend surpassed 137 million last year, according to TNS/CMR.


Media, Markets & Money tm

Moody's rates EchoStar notes, lowers outlook
Moody's Investors Service has assigned at Ba3 rating two a new issue of one billion dollars in 6 5/8% senior unsecured notes issued by EchoStar's wholly-owned subsidiary, EchoStar DBS Corp., the same as the one billion in 10 3/8% notes that it is replacing. But at the same time, Moody's lowered its credit outlook for the satellite TV company to "stable" from "positive." | More... |

Philadelphia Indy changes hands
The ink is dry and the keys are exchanged at WGTW-TV in Philadephia, according to broker Kalil & Co. The independent Channel 48 station, which coincidentally commaneded a 48M dollar pricetag, went from Brunson Communications to Trinity Christian Center of Santa Ana, headed by Paul F. Crouch.

Traffic Directors Salary Survey
launched online
The Traffic Directors Guild of America have launched their 4th TDGA Salary Survey in preparation for the 2004-2005 Annual Report. Data collection begins this week with a targeted release of all categories planned for January 1, 2005. This year, the trade association is using an online easy to use "point 'n click" response format. (http://www.pddesigns.com/tdga/tdgasurvey.html) "As with our three previous Reports, all individual responses are completely confidential and links between respondent and their information are severed once entry has been submitted to our secure collection point," said Larry Keene, CEO of the TDGA. The results of the report are available to TDGA Members and those non-members who actually participate and submit a completed survey. This year, the survey will include combined and individual categories by market size, commercial and non-commercial, radio and television stations, plus breakouts for Station Traffic personnel, Corporate level, Network and Cable network Traffic positions. The Report will also show data for Traffic personnel handling individual, combo or multiple numbers of logs. Working with BIAfn, this year TDGA will be able to have Stations that serve several different markets have their data reflected in each market served, increasing the Reports reliability across each market size.


Washington Beat

Abernathy still mulling must carry
FCC Commissioner Kathleen Abernathy is still a fence-sitter when it comes to the battle over digital must carry, according to an article in Multichannel News. Nearly everyone either agrees or is resigned to the fact that cable operators have to carry the primary signal of all qualified broadcast television stations in their market. The fight over the rules in the digital future is over carriage of four or five additional split-stream channels when a broadcast outlet is not using its bandwidth for high definition programming. Abernathy indicated that she would prefer that TV stations compete like anyone else to have extra channels carried, although she indicated she would look more favorably on must carry if a local-programming requirement was part of it. She said she did not see a grant of full split stream must carry as a way to entice broadcasters to accept a hard deadline for pulling the plug on their current side-by-side analog/digital operations, as has been suggested as part of the plan of Media Bureau Chief Ken Ferree. For his part, Ferree has pointed out that the bandwidth is the same whether broadcasters are putting out one HDTV signal or six split channels, so for that reason he thinks their full-carriage demand will probably win out.

TVBR observation: One thing is for sure - - this is the next big battlefield in the DTV transition war. It is going to be hard to keep the ball moving toward the end zone while must-carry uncertainty is still the order of the day.


Stock Talk

Broadcast issues mostly on the up and up
Most broadcasting companies had a little extra change in their pockets when trading was done yesterday. And the handful of companies that lost money could measure the trip to the red inkwell in pennies or slightly larger articles of small change. Viacom A led the way, charging ahead 88 cents a share.


TV Stocks

Here's how stocks fared on Monday

Company Symbol Close Change Company Symbol Close Change

Acme

ACME

5.96

+0.01

McGraw-Hill

MHP

79.45

+0.42

Belo

BLC

23.09

+0.12

Media General

MEG

56.82

-0.02

Clear Channel

CCU

31.79

+0.29

Meredith

MDP

51.82

-0.24

Disney

DIS

23.54

+0.46

News Corp.

NWS

33.51

+0.64

Emmis

EMMS

18.52

+0.29

Nexstar

NXST

8.65

-0.05

Entravision

EVC

7.81

-0.04

NY Times

NYT

39.89

+0.23

Fisher

FSCI

47.65

+0.37

Paxson

PAX

1.50

+0.02

Fox

FOX

28.13

+0.10

Saga Commun.

SGA

17.04

+0.09

Gannett

GCI

84.52

+0.45

Scripps

SSP

48.50

+0.25

Gen. Electric

GE

34.12

+0.15

Sinclair

SBGI

7.61

+0.18

Granite

GBTVK

0.28

+0.03

Time Warner

TWX

16.68

+0.08

Gray

GTN

12.30

+0.15

Tribune

TRB

42.89

+0.40

Gray, C1. A

GTNa

11.23

+0.03

Univision

UVN

31.70

-0.11

Hearst-Argyle

HTV

25.00

+0.18

Viacom, Cl. A

VIA

35.93

+0.88

Jeff-Pilot

JP

50.83

+0.20

Viacom, Cl. B

VIAb

35.55

+0.96

Journal Comm.

JRN

17.95

+0.15

Wash. Post

WPO

923.60

-19.15

Liberty Corp

LC

40.85

+0.53

Young

YBTVA

11.30

+0.03

LIN TV

TVL

19.60

-0.02

- - - - -

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Competing Media

Two more glum views on radio
Following RAB's report that August radio revenues were down 1%, two more Wall Street analysts are out with negative assessments of the outlook for radio. Both James Marsh at S.G. Cowen & Co. and Gordon Hodge at Thomas Weisel Partners have lowered their estimates for Q3 and Q4 - - and say 2005 is looking iffy as well.

TVBR observation: Do you think it is bad now? Wait until after this election. December RBR & TVBR Solutions Magazine goes in-depth with the advertising bureau chiefs for their forecast as the RBR / TVBR editors are gathering the necessary forward pacing data both radio and television need to get into 2005. Get ready to rumble. | More... |


September Digital Magazine

Complimentary Report
One on One
PHD's
Patrick McNew
The man who controls
the Chrysler Group auto bucks

Quarterly Deals:
4.1 Billion spent on broadcast properties since the thaw
RBR/TVBR Observation:
Where is action? We got it.

Less is More
CCU's already meaning less with syndicators and nets.

Read RBR in 2 simple steps:
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2. You can then download the free September Issue of RBR


TVBR Radar 2004
Click on these issues for TV News you won't read any where else. TVBR--First, Accurate, and Independently Owned.

Funds find broadcasting
to be a good hedge
Wall Street discovered radio and TV lending as a way to make a good return in this sideways stock market. One broker tells us the hedge funds are moving into broadcasting in a big way, but another notes that it's rather expensive money.
TVBR observation: Like so many things in life, it all depends on what your needs are. If you have lots of equity, qualify for bank rate financing and only need to borrow 5-6 times cash flow for an acquisition, you won't be looking at this option. But many young companies have to stretch another turn or two to make an acquisition possible - - so this is something else to investigate. 10/04/04 TVBR #193

August revenue figures
disappoint - again!
We all knew it was going to be another disappointing month for radio revenues, but now we have the official numbers from the RAB. Total revenues were down 1%, with local flat and national spot off 5%. Spinmeisters dug down to find a silver lining in this dark cloud in markets 31 through 100, showing local increase of 8%.
RBR observation: Flat ain't growth folks! That silver lining in markets 31 through 100 means local is working hard. Don't know what categories and this is where forward pacing would help all in the business. Radio is local and not packed stacked and racked. Now all will wait for the string of conference calls to come with their bad news and Wall Street will pick at radios bones. We have said this before and will say it again, "Stop sucking up to Wall St. They are moving on anyway. Take your big time cash flow and go private. Radio is no longer capable of the growth they want anyway. We were better without them. A few are rich, most are not." 10/04/04 RBR #193

Moonves admits fallout
from "Memogate"
CBS News has been in third place for the past few years and it's going to be hard to fix that until this issue gets resolved. What is up next in Moonves sleeve like Hispanic market place. Is working to get up to speed on radio now that Infinity Broadcasting is part of his portfolio. He says the company is going to spend more money on its radio stations and cross-promote them with its TV and outdoor platforms. But he's also looking to sell some stations in its smaller markets.
TVBR observation: Top line management is need now and if selling radio is in the cards sell to the ones that will make them work. Even help with financing. Les, do you really need markets like West Palm Beach or Tampa?
10/01/04 TVBR #192

Will there be a ratings merger?
Back when Arbitron was spun-off from Ceridian there was widespread speculation that VNU, which owns Nielsen Media Research, would swoop in to buy the radio ratings company just as soon as a one-year tax penalty deadline passed. That milestone was passed long ago and nothing happened. The pot was stirred again when VNU sold its directories business for 2.5 billion dollars, saying to wanted to focus on its core businesses. So, is such a merger likely to ever happen?
TVBR observation: Merger happen ah maybe when it is fare and equitable towboth sides of the deal and to shareholders. Comes down to money. 10/01/04 TVBR #192

Clear Channel warns of
tough times ahead
it's no secret that the radio ad market remains sluggish so CFO Randall Mays had a rather sober outlook. Mays believes that business will be essentially flat. The fourth quarter is going to be a challenging environment. RBR observation: Mr. Mays, More challenging? Bet your sweet bippie it will be. Remember this great quote: "The snake that strikes at the feet of the hunter is naught but a pain in the grass."
10/01/04 RBR #192


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