Welcome to RBR's Daily Epaper
Volume 21, Issue 185, Jim Carnegie, Editor & Publisher
Wednesday Morning September 22nd, 2004

Radio News ®

Will Emmis miss its radio guidance?
That's what Wachovia Securities analyst Jim Boyle is warning of. Emmis, always the canary in the coal mine because its fiscal year has it reporting earnings about a month ahead of other broadcasters, is due to report results next Tuesday (9/28) for its fiscal Q2 - - June-August. Boyle thinks Emmis may hit its 10.5% revenue growth guidance for TV, but miss its 3% target for its larger radio group - - and issue conservative guidance for fiscal Q3.

RBR observation: We asked Monday, "Have we hit bottom?" Boyle's answer is maybe not, so he's not advising investors to buy Emmis, even if it appears to be one of the more attractively priced stocks in the radio sector. Hang on, this could be an unpleasant ride! | More... |

Radio One CFO praises "Less is More"
Radio One isn't saying what it will do to respond to Clear Channel Radio's "Less is More" effort to cut radio clutter in markets where they compete, but Radio One CFO Scott Royster told a Banc of America Securities conference in San Francisco that the move by Clear Channel has to be good for the industry. "They're removing inventory, which can only be a good thing. Whether or not we need to follow their lead is still open for debate, so we'll watch and see what happens with regards to their leadership," Royster said. "But then, in conjunction with that there clearly needs to be a system in place, and I think they're working on something, that helps optimize pricing at every point along the spectrum of selling inventory for any given period of time. And so if they are focused on those two things in conjunction with each other, then I think we as an industry should be in pretty good shape - - if not in '05, hopefully in '06." Royster also gave investors the good news that ad sales for TV One, the company's nine-month-old cable network joint venture with Comcast, are running 100% ahead of budget. He said TV One should hit break even in about four years - - although that could come sooner if the network strikes a big carriage deal with Time Warner or DirecTV (or both).

Disney board to pick Eisner's successor
by June 2005
After meeting yesterday in Los Angeles, the Board of Directors of The Walt Disney set June of 2005 as their target date for naming a new CEO to succeed Michael Eisner. The directors said they would engage an executive search firm to aid them in making the choice, saying they would consider outsiders and one insider - - President and COO Bob Iger. "He is an outstanding executive and the Board regards him as highly qualified for the position. However, the Board believes that the process should include full consideration of external candidates as well," the directors said in a statement. Shortly before the board meeting, Eisner put to rest rumors that he might try to stay on as Chairman after retiring as CEO of Disney in 2006. Eisner told Fortune magazine that he'll be leaving the company completely - - he won't even stay on the board of directors. "I have not asked the board to stay on the board or be chairman after the end of my contract. My assumption is that I would not continue on the board or as chairman. I have a full business life ahead of me. Clearly I'm not the type to retire, particularly after all these lectures from medical experts about how an active mind is good for the body," Eisner said in an interview with the magazine. The Disney board will, however, need a new Chairman soon. George Mitchell will reach Disney's mandatory retirement age of 72 in August 2005 and told fellow directors that he will not stand for re-election at the 2006 shareholders meeting. So, once Eisner's successor is chosen, the board will turn to finding a successor for Mitchell. Here's the board's statement released after yesterday's meeting.

| More... |


2004 presidential debate schedule adopted
The slate of debates agreed to by the campaigns of George W. Bush and John Kerry looks remarkably like the suggested schedule announced in August. Bush and Kerry will face off three times between now and mid-October, with another session featuring VP candidates Dick Cheney and John Edwards. Bush v. Kerry kicks off at the University of Miami 9/30 in Coral Gables FL. Session #2 will be held at Washington U. in St. Louis 10/8, and the final meeting will be in Tempe AZ at Arizona State 10/13. The veep and would-be veep meet at Case Western Reserve U. in Cleveland 10/5. The 9/30 debate will focus on foreign policy, and the 10/13 will focus on domestic and economic issues. The 10/8 session will be in the town hall format, with no topic restrictions. The VP debate will also be open to all topics. "We have worked to produce an agreement that will ensure a productive and fruitful exchange of ideas about the most important issues facing Americans today," said negotiators Vernon Jordan Jr. (Kerry) and James A. Baker III (Bush) in a joint statement.

From President to Ambassador
Stuart Beck is our pick for the most unusual career move of 2004. He's resigned as President and COO of Granite Communications, which owns eight TV stations, to become Ambassador and Permanent Representative of the Republic of Palau to the United Nations - - the first person to ever hold the post. Beck began his new job yesterday as the UN convened its 59th Session of the General Assembly. He's shown above presenting his credentials to UN Secretary General Kofi Annan. "It is a rare and unique privilege to represent a sovereign country in the United Nations and to play a role in world events. After co-founding Granite with my business partner and friend Don Cornwell and spending 16 excellent years helping to build Granite, it would only be for a unique assignment and lifelong dedication to a young and growing nation like this that I would ever consider reducing my involvement with Granite. It is therefore with sadness that I am resigning as President, although I will be continuing to maintain a close involvement with Granite as an active board member, as well as a shareholder in the company," Beck said. The ambassador grew up in broadcasting - - literally, his father, Martin, was the Beck half of the Beck-Ross radio group - - but also has a long history with the Republic of Palau. He was retained as Chief Counsel in 1977 to assist the Pacific Island group in obtaining independence from the United States, enacting its own Constitution and installing its first government. Beck was awarded Honorary Citizenship in 1979 and his wife, Ebiltulik, is Palauan.


Adbiz ©

Part IV
Director of Pontiac Marketing speaks on the Oprah-G6 marketing coup
Northwestern University-bred Director of Pontiac Marketing at General Motors Mark-Hans Richer talked to RBR/TVBR about their marketing efforts, including the new Pontiac G6, giving away 276 of them on Oprah recently. Continued from Monday.

Has the Oprah G6 media blitz brought
new opportunities to the table for Pontiac?
We've had a lot of people (business, media, creative partners) calling us, sort of thinking about Pontiac, which is nice. And we've made efforts to reach out to Hollywood and to some others, and we've been fairly successful with it. But now that they see the potential of things we're interested in and are willing to do-we'll go to that next level-that's opening up new relationships that we didn't even know about...
| More... |

Group makes it easier to place ads on NM radio stations
The New Mexico Business Weekly reports New Mexico Broadcast Resources Inc., a newly organized entity that coordinates radio advertising for 58 member stations in 19 markets throughout New Mexico, has begun operations in Albuquerque. Advertisers and media buyers in New Mexico can purchase radio advertising on any or all of the state's rural radio stations with just one phone call, a release from NMBR says. "What used to take dozens of phone calls, faxes and emails has been replaced with one phone call, one order and one bill through the new streamlined service. We didn't feel that we were getting our fair share of radio budgets, so the majority of the radio station owners and managers of stations outside the Albuquerque area banded together to create a rep firm to make it easy for an advertiser to buy [air time with] us," says Matt Martinez, president of NMBR and owner of two stations in Las Vegas, New Mexico -- KNMX-AM and KMDZ-FM. NMBR is a for-profit operation, however, all profits it makes will go to the New Mexico Broadcasters Foundation, Martinez says. The money will be used to fund scholarships for college students.

ABB launches first PSA effort
ABB, a leading automation and power technologies company, has launched a print and broadcast ad campaign spotlighting its influence on the everyday life of businesses and consumers in the US. With more than 100,000 employees worldwide and 2003 revenues of some 19 billion, ABB seeks to highlight the significance of U.S. and North American markets to its growth strategy. The company employs approximately 8,500 people in the U.S. The new campaign, dubbed "Welcome to the world of ABB," is intended to raise the company's profile among manufacturers and consumers who benefit from its products but may not be familiar with the ABB brand. The TV campaign was filmed on three continents - North America, Europe and Africa - and includes striking visuals and narrations by actual ABB employees. Broadcast spots will appear on CNBC, CNN Cable and CNN Airport networks, with print ads in publications including BusinessWeek, The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, The Economist, Atlantic Monthly and Industry Week. An ABB "energy issues" campaign will appear concurrently, as the company seeks to expand the dialogue on improving and securing the electric power grid against outages such as occurred in the eastern U.S. in August 2003. ABB is a business-to-business company that manufactures and ships more than a million products worldwide each day - - used by the makers of machinery, chemicals, pharmaceuticals and paper goods. The company equips and services 75% of the world's pulp and paper mills, produces over two-thirds of the equipment found in today's power grid and makes the industrial robots used by more than 80% of automakers worldwide.

BK launches effort for download promo
Burger King has launched three TV spots and several print ads for its new free-music-download promotion. As part of the effort, which continues through 10/3, the wrapper for each original Whopper burger at BK includes a code that can be used at www.haveityourway.com to download one of more than 700,000 songs. Double Whoppers offer access to two songs on the website. Two of the three TV spots began airing this month, with the third scheduled to launch within the next week, the agency said. The commercials, which feature three young men called "Whopperheads" who travel in a 1970s-style van while searching for their favorite sandwich at BK, are running on national broadcast and cable networks, the agency said. Radio is also in the mix. The ads were created by Crispin Porter + Bogusky Miami.


Media, Markets & Money tm

Noncom's search for green has donors seeing red
Boston University, which owns WBUR-FM in Boston, also owns and operates WRNI-AM Providence and WXNI-AM Westerly RI, bringing NPR programming to the tiny state. However, according to the Providence Journal, BU is thinking about bailing out. This isn't sitting well with citizens of Rhode Island, particularly those who have contributed to the stations. According to PJ, a local fund-raising campaign put more than 3M dollars into the stations. The way the stations' listeners see it, they have done much of the work to fund the stations, and the threatened sale is essentially making them buy the stations all over again. That's if they can. BU has made no guarantee that the stations will go to a non-profit organization. They're being shopped around to anyone who may be interested, including commercial operators. PJ says Media Services Group has the listing. Stay tuned.


September Solutions
Digital Magazine
Complimentary Report

One on One
PHD's Patrick McNew
The man who controls
the Chrysler Group auto bucks

Quarterly Deals:
4.1 Billion spent on broadcast properties since the thaw
RBR/TVBR Observation:
Where is action? We got it.

Less is More
CCU's already meaning less with syndicators and nets.

Read RBR in 2 simple steps:
1.Create a simple account with Zinio
to download the free Zinio Reader.
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September Issue of RBR.
Thats it!


Washington Beat

Which do we protect: 17M or 70M?
The battle lines are continually being drawn and redrawn on the bumpy road leading to the digital television conversion. The plan offered by Sen John McCain (R-AZ) to provide 1B dollars to some 17M unconnected TV households so that they can still receive a television picture when analog transmission goes bye-bye is already being challenged. Not surprisingly, the National Association of Broadcasters is opposing the measure because it doesn't take into account existing analog receivers, which is believed to number about 70M sets. Many of these are secondary over-the-air-only sets in houses that get either cable of satellite over their main television receiver.

RBR observation: With the clock ticking toward Election Day (11/2/04), lawmakers are eager to get back home to campaign, so the smart money is against anything of significance happening real soon, regardless of what happens in the Senate Commerce Committee today.


Programming

Univision Radio launches
public affairs program
NBC may have Tim Russert, but Univision Radio is hoping that "Tu Voz en Washington" (Your Voice in Washington) will soon be a must-stop for our nation's top leaders. The new Sunday morning public affairs and open mic show will launch this Sunday (9/26) 11:00 to noon ET on RadioCadena Univision - - Univision Radio's AM network. The program will be hosted by Lourdes Meluza, a veteran TV reporter for the Washington Bureau of Univision Network News. "We are confident that 'Tu Voz en Washington' will quickly become an important platform for Hispanics to be informed about and address important issues affecting their lives," said Univision Radio President Mac Tichenor. "We are very proud to launch our very first Sunday morning national public affairs program, and thrilled that it will benefit from Lourdes Meluza's professionalism and credibility."

Syndicated Solutions picks up WJR's
"Real Estate Insiders"
Syndicated Solutions announced it has aligned with "Real Estate Insiders," hosted by David Hall. The program presently airs in Detroit on ABC Radio's WJR-AM, the station that will now serve as its flagship. The program will be broadcast beginning this weekend (9/25-9/26), Sundays 10a-12p ET and Saturdays 2p-4p ET. An encore broadcast will also be offered on Sundays 6p-8p ET. Delivery will be via The SSI Radio Network on ABC StarGuide III Satellite or via CD. The show targets all aspects of the real estate industry and is hands down America's "Go To" show. Real estate affects us all and host David Hall along with his on-air colleagues Bob Walters and Stephen Piazza offer up the unique show. David is a respected business exec, national media spokesperson and is recognized as one of the Top-10 active mortgage bankers in America. Bob's an EVP and Chief Economist of Quicken Loans. Stephen "Luigi" Piazza has over 30 years of experience in real estate and serves as the program's "feet on the street" insider.


Ratings & Research

Mass Radio and Audible Magic launch
Spanish radio monitoring service

Mass Radio, a Hispanic radio consulting company, is launching (second week of October) "Radio Tracking Data," a new Spanish radio monitoring service. This new service will monitor more than 600 Spanish-language stations in the US as well as major cities in Mexico. Radio Tracking Data will use MonitorLatino.com as the official website to provide the data. | More... |


Transactions

KSRT-FM Santa Rosa CA (Cloverdale CA) from Point Broadcasting to Results Radio of the North State LLC.

KLOD-FM Flagstaff AZ from Rocket Radio Corporation to Yavapai Broadcasting Corporation.

| More Details |


Stock Talk

Broadcast stocks trail up market
The Fed raised rates a quarter point, which was exactly what was expected, so Wall Street didn't blink. Plus, there was good news on the housing front, with an unexpected rise in August housing starts, and two Wall Street firms themselves reported better-than-expected earnings - - Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs. So, the Dow Industrials rose 40 points, or 0.4%, to 10,245.

Radio stocks were left behind, following a recent rash of analyst downgrades and warnings. The Radio Index fell to another year-to-date low, dropping 0.304, or 0.1%, to 213.064. No one dropped a lot. Cox radio was down 2% and Westwood One 1.9%.


Radio Stocks

Here's how stocks fared on Tuesday

Company Symbol Close Change Company Symbol Close Change

Arbitron

ARB

37.45

+0.05

Jeff-Pilot

JP

49.67

+0.39

Beasley

BBGI

15.96

-0.05

Journal Comm.

JRN

17.90

+0.08

Citadel CDL
12.82 unch

Radio One, Cl. A

ROIA

14.70

+0.15

Clear Channel

CCU

32.65

+0.05

Radio One, Cl. D

ROIAK

14.58

+0.08

Cox Radio

CXR

15.05

-0.30

Regent

RGCI

5.82

-0.01

Cumulus

CMLS

13.37

-0.10

Saga Commun.

SGA

17.40

-0.21

Disney

DIS

23.41

+0.28

Salem Comm.

SALM

25.38

+0.17

Emmis

EMMS

18.19

+0.20

Sirius Sat. Radio

SIRI

2.86

+0.08

Entercom

ETM

33.66

-0.35

Spanish Bcg.

SBSA

9.19

+0.18

Entravision

EVC

7.93

+0.01

Univision

UVN

31.71

+0.19

Fisher

FSCI

47.99

+0.69

Viacom, Cl. A

VIA

34.07

-0.30

Gaylord

GET

31.59

+0.17

Viacom, Cl. B

VIAb

33.64

-0.40

Hearst-Argyle

HTV

24.89

-0.30

Westwood One

WON

20.25

-0.40

Interep

IREP

0.63

+0.12

XM Sat. Radio

XMSR

30.33

+0.42

International Bcg.

IBCS

0.01

unch

-

-

-

-

-


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Arbitrends

ArbitronMarket Results
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Stations For Sale

Rated New Mexico Market AM
Fabulous Potential!
Cliff at Clifton Gardiner & Co
(303)758-6900
[email protected]


More News Headlines

International

Mexico testing
AM IBOC for
standards setting

Broadcast Electronics announced it is participating in tests of the HD Radio AM system in Mexico. The tests are being conducted in cooperation with the Cámara de la Industria de Radio y Televisión (CIRT) and Grupo Radio Centro, with 11 stations in Mexico City. This follows five months of exhaustive testing of a BE-equipped HD Radio FM system on the group's XHFAJ-FM, which was concluded early this year. A BE ASi 10 HD Radio signal generator was installed on the 100 kW transmitter of XEN-690 in Mexico City on 8/31. | More... |


NAB Day Time Planner


The following brokers will be attending the NAB. Call or email to make your appointment in advance.

American Media Services,
Todd Fowler, Office 843-972-2200, Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]

Cobb Corp.,
Denis LeClair [email protected]
Joel B. Day
[email protected]
Office 202-478-3737,
Manchester Grand Hyatt

Gordon Rice Associates,
Gordon Rice,
Office 843-884-3590,
Manchester Grand Hyatt,
[email protected]

John Pierce & Company LLC,
John Pierce, cell 859-512-3015,
Jamie Rasnick, cell 513-252-1186, Office 859-647-0101,
Manchester Grand Hyatt,
[email protected]

Kozacko Media Services,
Dick Kozacko,
Office 607-733-7138,
Cell 607-738-1219,
Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]

Patrick Communications,
Larry Patrick, Office 410-740-0250, Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]




RBR Radar 2004
Click on these issues for Radio News you won't read any where else. RBR--First, Accurate, and Independently Owned.

Campaign financing regs remanded
The US District Court in the District of Columbia has sent a slate of campaign rules written by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) back to be rewritten, saying that they opened up "an immense loophole" which Congress had no intention of putting on the books. 09/21/04 RBR #184

Sen. John 'Wayne' McCain looking for 1B in anti-blackout funds
Is preparing to ask for a significant taxpayer contribution to the televiewing of the unconnected when the digital television transition is finalized and analog broadcasts go away. McCain's plan would in effect be at least somewhat of an endorsement of the so-called "Ferree Plan," which would bring the end of analog broadcast about on 1/1/09, but would get there by counting analog receivers getting down-converted digital signals in the 85% digital-ready theshold which is the statutory target for the analog turn-off. 09/21/04 RBR #184

Telecom 1996 up for review
Says Frank Blethen, the Seattle Times publisher took to the OpEd pages of the Washington Post 9/19/04 warning of the evils of excessive ownership concentration and media cross-ownership. Senate Commerce Committee is supposed to revisit the 1996 Telecommunications Act next year, an agenda item which could easily light off even more fireworks in the already incendiary history of the ownership debate. The Commerce Committee has already approved numerous reversals of the FCC 6/2/03 ownership rulemaking. Some of them have reappeared in other guises, such as the reversion to a 35% national potential audience reach cap for broadcast television group owners, down from the FCC's 45%. RBR observation: This is great news if regulatory uncertainty is your cup of tea. People wishing to sit in on the Commerce Committee's proceedings should probably head over to the Russell Building on Capitol Hill right now and get in line.
09/21/04 RBR #184

RBR Close-Up
Broadcast stocks: How low is low?
If you own radio or TV stocks, you know that they've fallen this year - - a lot. Most pure-play radio companies have lost at least a quarter of their value, many more than a third. TV stocks haven't done quite that badly, but are down double digits.
RBR observation: The question now - have we hit bottom? RBR's analysis chart inside tells the sad tale.
09/20/04 RBR #183

Freeze frame:
When will the deal thaw happen?
Station trading and major changes - - to whit, FCC transactions utilizing Forms 301, 314, or 315 - - are frozen while the FCC gets its paperwork in order following the 3rd Circuit's decision to allow the new Arbitron-based radio market definition to be used as a yardstick for cluster sizing. When will the thaw happen?
RBR observation: FCC has no way of knowing precisely when the freeze will be lifted, but that it is expected to be short-lived. 09/20/04 RBR #183

Congressmen try to
head off Ferree plan
Two members of the House of Representatives have fired off a letter to FCC Chairman Michael Powell asking him to hold off on any attempt to force an end to the DTV transition according to the so-called "Ferree plan," which would achieve the mandated 85% viewership threshold by counting viewers getting digital signals downconverted for analog receivers along with viewers getting full benefit of digital broadcasting. RBR observation: Excuse us, but Congress is the irresponsible government entity which came up with the 85% in, 15% completely shut out policy. The FCC has been forced to try and propel the DTV transition forward with no power whatsoever to do anything other than leave 15% of all Americans in the video dark. That's what Congress specifically told the FCC to do.
09/20/04 RBR #183

MCG Capital raises
35.4 million in new capital
Completed a follow-on stock offering raising 35.4 million dollars by selling just over two million shares of new stock. MCG says the proceeds of the offering will be used to "originate loans to and make investments in small- and medium-sized private companies and for working capital and general corporate purposes." That is, after all, what the company is all about. In the broadcasting arena, MCG's investments include Crystal Media Network in radio syndication, the New Vision Broadcasting TV group and dick clark productions in TV production. MCG Capital also owns Kagan Research.
RBR observation: For a close up look at where are the multiples and where are they going - look in your mail box for the November Solutions Magazine investigative report. MCG proves there is money available but the key is how much of your flesh does any investment firm or banker want? And with recent Wall Street types kicking especially the crap out of radio will these money guys take the bet on the entrepreneur. Entrepreneurs in most cases are so misunderstood but have the brass set to bring radio back to when it worked. 09/17/04 RBR #182


General Sales Manager
WCBS-FM, NYC the Big Apple, a legendary station where it doesn't get any better than this. GSM with at least 5 years of radio sales management experience. Must be creative, motivating, and a strong team oriented person. Supervise the Local & Retail Sales Managers, plus many other sales departments.

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