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Welcome to RBR's Daily Epaper
Volume 24, Issue 192, Jim Carnegie, Editor & Publisher
Tuesday Morning October 2nd, 2007

Radio News ®

Emmis leaves Interep for Katz
Emmis Communications has ended its long-time rep deal with Interep and its D&R Radio Sales and moved over to Katz Radio Group. KRG will represent Emmis stations in New York, LA, Chicago, St. Louis, Indianapolis, Austin and Terre Haute, IN. The deal begins 10/1. It is another big loss for Interep, which has suffered several high-profile client losses to Clear Channel-owned Katz. Said Emmis CEO Jeff Smulyan: "This was one of the most difficult decisions we've ever had to make. I have tremendous respect for David Kennedy and his team, and I greatly value his industry leadership and expertise. However, we have determined that this the right decision for Emmis going forward." Interep CEO Dave Kennedy had this to say: "The relationship between Interep and Emmis has been long and mutually profitable...Each company is now at a stage in its development where strategic change is of great importance in defining its future. This decision, although very difficult for each of us, works in the best financial interests of both companies, and sets the stage for each to better accomplish its objectives."

"We have long admired Emmis's reputation for broadcasting excellence, and we are delighted to enter into a partnership that we believe will create long-term value for both companies," said Stu Olds, Katz Media Group CEO. "Emmis CEO Jeff Smulyan and Radio President Rick Cummings have built a world-class radio operation, and I believe the strength and reach of our two companies allows us to offer advertisers the highest level of choice, service and accountability in the market." Interep says Emmis was one of its top five clients and confirms 1) that there will be a contract buyout by Katz; 2) that Emmis was not at the end of its rep contract. So, the silver lining in this dark cloud is that the contract buyout will help Interep with its ongoing financial restructuring.

RBR observation: It has been no walk in the park to rep Emmis stations lately in New York, LA and Chicago, as their ratings have been falling on stations like Power 106 and Q101. So it's more critical mass for Katz and Stu Olds - who may some day buy the rep firm from Clear Channel. The deal will put more dollars short-term in the coffers at Interep, where Kennedy and Chairman Ralph Guild are hard at work on a financial restructuring.

Millions use radio for news
A real estate consultant who was interested in helping agencies make sure they're getting the most bang for their PR buck did a survey of news source usage. TV news easily topped the list, claiming 78.6% penetration into the total US population, but radio news claims an impressive 97M people, and radio talk adds another 60M. The poll was conducted by Synovate for Edward Segal, author of "Profit by Publicity," which was published by the Marin Association of Realtors.

The full list: * TV news programs, 78.6% (171M people); * Newspapers, 66.8% (145M people); * Web sites (any type), 46.6% (101M people); * Radio news, 44.5% (97M people); * Talk radio, 27.4% (60M people); * TV talk shows, 22.8% (50M people); * News magazines, 19.6% (43M people); * TV comedians, 16.3% (35M people); and * Blogs, 3.9% (8M people). Synovate says it based its results on a survey of one thousand individuals with an error rate of plus or minus 4%.

Segal said the results show that the marketing plans of any realtor must take into account the diversity of viable media in today's marketplace and utilize a good mix to make sure the message connects with potential customers. In his case, he was looking at a public relations angle, noting that this knowledge is important for getting favorable news coverage.


Jerry Lee puts his money where his mouth is
If you heard Jerry Lee speak Friday in Charlotte, you heard him talking about giving guarantees to advertisers to prove the value of radio. Well, he's not just talking, he's doing. Lee is pictured here (center) when he received the NAB National Radio Award from NAB President & CEO David Rehr and NAB Joint Board Chair Jack Sandler of Belo. But while he already has quite a lifetime of achievement in radio, Lee has big ideas for the future. He challenged the gathering with four proposals to move radio forward. Lee is already trying to implement them in Philadelphia, where he owns WBEB-FM, to prove that they work. He told RBR that he has met with the advertising decision maker for the Ford dealers in the Philadelphia area with a proposal to prove that radio can move cars - with a money-back guarantee. The plan is to have Ford commit to an additional five million in radio ad spending in Philly in 2008 (up from only 800K this year), with delayed billing and payment only due if the campaign works. Arbitron will be surveying its Philadelphia PPM panelists next month to establish the baseline of P1s who have bought new cars this year. Philadelphia Ford sales would also be judged against a couple of control markets with similar characteristics, so the effectiveness of the radio advertising can be separated from other factors.

First, though, the Ford ads will have to pass muster with the ad testing being done by WBEB and virtually no one else in radio. Put good ads on the air, Jerry Lee says, and he has no worries about offering Ford the money-back guarantee. Beasley is already onboard and Lee says he has not been told no yet by any other Philly broadcasters. This is just the start. He wants to do the same thing with about 15 other advertisers in 15 other ad categories to prove the effectiveness of properly done radio advertising. If you weren't in Charlotte or couldn't take notes fast enough on the back of your menu, here is a key excerpt from what Jerry Lee had to say:

"We need to take charge of our own destiny.
We need to do 4 things and if we do them right, our future will be very bright.

1. Test our Radio Commercials...TV does, we don't.
2. Guarantee Audience delivery in PPM market...TV does, we don't.
3. Sell the results of the Radio Ad Lab studies that show that Radio has
a 49% better ROI than TV and that when you ad Radio to Newspaper,
you triple the effectiveness of the campaign.
4. Take a risk and offer a money back guarantee to a few National Advertisers to demonstrate just how cost effective Radio is.

I know that point 4 is bold. But we must do bold things if we
want to jump start the Radio Industry." -- Jerry Lee, owner, WBEB-FM Philadelphia


Newspapers hoping to cut into churn
The trade-off is that subscription numbers will fall, but by curtailing strenuous efforts to pull in fringe, deal-enticed subscribers who generally exit once the deal expires, they hope to reach a stable level of customers who take the medium seriously. The New York Times looked at the new strategy, in which declining circulation numbers were said to be more than just evidence of continuing migration to the internet for news. A large part of it is newspapers focusing on core readers, driven by advertisers who just aren't interested in users out of their target demographic or geographical center. The latter element is of particular concern to a retailer. Why blanket the northern extremity of a media market with a coupon insert if your business serves only the southern extremity? And who cares that the newspaper sold a thousand subscriptions to college students if you're in the appliance business?

From the newspaper's perspective, the raw cost of reaching out to fringe subscribers is saved, not to mention associated printing and material costs. Newspaper hopes to be left with a stable and high quality roster of readers. According to NYT, one of the areas some newspapers are cutting back is in advertising their own product. The SVP Jack Klunder of the Los Angeles Times said it was one of those papers. "You need to advertise in the long run, but we make a lot of short-term decisions in this business."

RBR observation: Newspapers apparently are just now learning about a broadcast reality that has existed for decades in the radio business and is a fact of life in television since basic cable became ubiquitous. All remain mass media, but none can any longer hope to deliver a plurality of our increasingly diverse population. The answer is narrowcasting to one degree or another, assembling a definable audience that can be sold to the appropriate advertising clients. Of course, we find it a little amusing that a media business would try to sell clients on the need to maintain their advertising budget, especially when times are tough, when it finds itself incapable of taking this advice itself.

Give us just a little more time
The FCC did its ten-study data dump on media ownership 7/31/07 and immediately asked for public comment by 10/1/07, with reply comments due two weeks thereafter. A coalition of interested watchdogs, including Free Press, Consumer Federation of America and Consumer Union said formally on 9/11/07 that the FCC did not give them enough time to fully comment, on grounds that between them the studies contained "thousand to millions if data points and methodological decisions." They wanted 90 more days to study and prepare comments. They were more or less echoed by the United Church of Christ, the National Organization of Women, Common Cause and the Benton Foundation. The request for more time was countered by Media General, which wants to avoid any undue delay in moving ahead with the ownership proceeding. The FCC said it basically agreed with Media General, but decided a brief extension would be in the public interest and gave the watchdogs another three weeks. The new deadlines are 10/22/07 for comments and 11/1/07 for reply comments.

RBR observation: Does anybody really think the ownership proceeding will turn on the contents of the ten studies? Those who oppose further consolidation will oppose it regardless and those who think some or all of the rules should be loosened will think that regardless. This is basically a side show. The real questions about the remanded rules are what Kevin Martin thinks he can get past the court, if he can do it fast enough to beat the 2008 election, and whether Congress will sit still for whatever it is. Stay tuned.


Wall Street Media Business Report TM
Tribune settles with IRS
Tribune Company announced a settlement of its long-running tax dispute with the IRS. Tribune had appealed a 2005 US Tax Court decision disallowing the tax-free reorganization of Matthew Bender, a former subsidiary of The Times Mirror Company, which was merged into Tribune Company. As a result of the settlement with the IRS, Tribune will receive a refund of federal income taxes and interest of approximately 344 million bucks. However, Tribune has to pay taxes right back to the IRS on the interest, so the company says the net cash proceeds will be about 286 million.


Ad Business Report TM

CC Radio to offer ad trades for HD Radio giveaways
Jeff Littlejohn, Clear Channel Radio EVP/Distribution Development and Steve Davis, SVP/Engineering & Capital Management, tell RBR that the company is ramping up in many markets to work with local installers to trade HD Radio car installations for local ads/promotions for the shops. Right now they're ramping up the car radio inventories for the push. Says Littlejohn: "It's not really all that different from what we have been doing for the last two years. We have a variety of radios that we give to radio stations for use in promoting HD Radio. The only real difference is that these radios need to be installed in a car, so we're requiring stations to find a way to include installation along with the radio give away."

St. Louis and alcoholic beverages spots examined
Media Monitors took a look at alcoholic beverages advertisers, the city of St. Louis and their use of spot radio. In St. Louis last week the number one advertiser on the radio was the HD DIGITAL RADIO ALLIANCE with 920 announcements. #2 was Vinson Mortgage Group with 609 spots. Coming in #3, up from #5 the week before was THE SHANE COMPANY with 560 commercials. #4 was CHRYSLER-JEEP-DODGE with 548 units, while the FOX TV NETWORK was #5 running 481 spots. WAL-MART was #6 up from #10, with 421 ads, while SEARS climbed from #29 to #7 airing 410 announcements. The ST. LOUIS POST- DISPATCH was #8 with 410 spots with CUPID.COM coming in #9 running 382 spots. NBC TV NETWORK was #10, up from 43 the previous week, with 356 spots promoting the new fall season.

Beer is still the king of radio advertisers due to the fact that some broadcasters do not accept hard liquor ads. Last week in America, these were the top alcoholic beverages that were ran spots on the radio nationwide. #1 BUD LIGHT with 3,722 spots. MILLER LITE was #2 airing 2,794 ads on the radio. BUDWEISER was #3 with 2,130 spots, while ANHEUSER-BUSCH was #4 with 1,165 spots. COORS LIGHT was #5 with 917 announcements, with BUDWEISER SELECT was #6 running 851 spots. BUSCH BEER was #7 with 644. HENNESSY ran 620 spots to make them the 8th biggest advertiser on the radio, while HEINEKEN ran 575 units putting them at #9. And the #10 position was held by TECATE LIGHT with 536 spots.

On the NATIONAL SPOT TEN last week, the HD DIGITAL RADIO ALLIANCE was the top advertiser in the nation with 27,528 spots. GEICO was #2 with 25,282 spots and VERIZON was #3 in the nation with 21,417 spots. WAL-MART was #4 running 20,953 commercials and the FOX TV NETWORK was #5 running 19,990 spots.


Executive Comment
Your "to do" list for 2008
Executives are sounding off on Guidance for 2008 to 2010 and start now. RBR publisher Jim Carnegie outlined 8 brief points of must do or - if you sit and wait for someone else to do the heavy lifting for you - then it is easier to just pucker up and plant your lips on the back of a tailpipe and breath in. If you did not experiment this year with ideas then do so now. (10/01/07 RBR #191) This morning, Bob Harper from Paragon Media Strategies adds more to the "to do" list.

Jim,
As usual, you are running out and ahead of the pack. Your top-8 for '08 was perfect. May I add some reactions?

| Read More |


Washington Media Business Report TM
CSN attempt to undelete fails
The plans of noncommercial CSN International to construct CP WWTS-FM in Logansport IN fell apart when less than a month before the construction deadline, it learned that its planned antenna site fell through due to a change in technical standards. The date of that discovery was 9/9/05; the expiration date was 10/3/05. CSN had been awarded the permit on 10/3/02 as part of a settlement agreement among mutually exclusive applicants. CSN argued that it had "every reason to believe" that its antenna site was ready to go, and applied for an extension of time to build the station after the deal fell through. The FCC, however, said that "CSN did not investigate the tower's ability to accommodate its antenna until July 2005." Had it not waited until essentially the last minute, it would probably have been able to resolve the problem one way or another. So when the CP expired, the FCC rescinded it and deleted the calls. Now CSN's appeal has been turned down, on grounds that it has supplied no new information, nor has it demonstrated that the FCC erred the first time around.


Media Markets & Money TM
Banta slowing encircling the Big Apple
Charlie Banta already has a pair of station in the shadow of New York City in the form of Jersey shore combo WADB-AM/WJLK-FM Asbury Park. Now another company has struck a deal to bring a Long Island AM station into the fold. The new transaction if for WLIE-AM out of Islip NY. Its east of the Big Apple in the Nassau-Suffolk Arbitron market which in turn is embedded into the New York market. Banta's The Principle Broadcasting Network New York is buying the station from Long Island Multimedia (LIMM) for 12M. 11M of that will go to LIMM, and 1M will go to Deer Park Properties for associated real estate. LIMM stands to make 1M or 2M more depending on the disposition of station upgrades which could include a daytime power boost up to 4.3 kW. An LMA has been in place since 1/1/07. Banta's ownership partners include Peter S. Handy, Teo C. Balbach and Sandra A. Miller.


Entertainment Media Business Report TM
Detroit's Free FM goes all Sports in simulcast
Another "Free FM" bites the dust: CBS Radio's Talk WKRK-FM "Free FM" in Detroit flipped to Sports at 3PM yesterday in a simulcast with sister Sports WXYT-AM. The stations are using the tagline "Detroit's Sports Powerhouse, 97.1FM & 1270AM." WKRK's Jeff Deminski and Bill move from afternoons to mornings, replacing Opie and Anthony on FM and ESPN Radio's Mike & Mike on AM. Both FM and AM will drop network programming in the evenings and add local shows with Dennis Fithian and Pat Caputo.

WXYT's New Weekday Schedule:
-- DEMINSKI AND DOYLE (6:00-10:00AM) - Jeff Deminski & Bill Doyle
-- THE BIG SHOW (10:00AM-2:00PM) - Scott Anderson & Doug Karsch
-- THE SPORTS INFERNO (2:00-6:00PM) - Mike Valenti & Terry Foster
-- THE BOOK ON SPORTS (6:00-10:00PM) - Pat Caputo
-- Dennis Fithian (10:00PM-2:00AM)

CBS Radio also dumped talk on The Zone WTZN-FM Pittsburgh and is currently stunting with Christmas music. The new station will be revealed Friday, according to the website. Check it out - looks like CHR B-94 might be coming back to town: http://www.937thezone.com/


Internet Media Business Report TM
Public TV website popularity examined
The Media Audit released an analysis of Public TV viewers and website visitors with a ranking of the top markets for percentage of adults 18+ visiting a website over a 30 day period. Visitors to KQED.org in San Francisco top the list with 14.2%. KOPB-TV Portland, OR ranked second with 12.6% of adults who have visited the station's web site in the past month, followed by WKLE-TV Lexington, KY (11.3% reach with adults 18+), KQED-TV San Francisco (10.7% reach with adults 18+) and WJCT-TV in Jacksonville (10.5% reach with adults 18+). A total of eight Public stations achieved a 10% or higher reach with adults 18+. The remaining stations with a 10% or higher reach are KLRU-TV Austin with 10.4% of adults 18+, followed by WGBH-TV Boston, (10.3% reach with adults 18+), and KEPB-TV in Eugene, OR (10.1% reach with adults 18+).


Ratings & Research
In-tab improvement
in Houston and Philly

Arbitron has released the PPM weekly report for the survey week of September 6-12 and proudly noted improvement in in-tab performance for both Houston and Philadelphia.

Philadelphia (09/06/07 to 09/12/07)
In-tab Goal: 1,530 Persons 6+
Average Daily In-tab: 1,571
DDI: 103

"This is a gain of 74 persons versus the average daily in-tab of 1,497 for the previous survey week," Arbitron Sr. VP Thom Mocarsky noted. "We reached the DDI goal for Philadelphia two weeks in advance of the last survey week in the calendar month of September" (which had been the publicly stated goal), he told RBR.

Houston (09/06/07 to 09/12/07)
In-tab Goal: 1,361 persons 6+
Average Daily In-tab: 1,238
DDI: 91

"This is a gain of 87 persons versus the average daily in-tab of 1,151 for the previous survey week," Mocarsky said.

RBR observation: Improvement, yes, but no one is claiming perfection. The concern we still hear most often is about under-indexing for young demos. Of course, that's long been a problem for diaries as well. PPM panels are getting better, but there's still work to do.

Word-of-Mouth the most powerful selling tool
Despite an ever-expanding array of advertising platforms and sources, consumers around the world still place their highest levels of trust in other consumers, according to a recent global Nielsen Internet survey. The survey found Filipinos and Brazilians (67%) to be the most trusting overall of all forms of advertising, while trust among Danes (28%), Italians (32%), Lithuanians (34%) and Germans (35%) were the lowest in the world. Ads in newspapers rank second worldwide among all media categories, at 63% overall, while television, magazines and radio each ranked above 50%. Such advertising scored best in Latin America and most poorly in Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa regions. Although consumer recommendations are the most credible form of advertising among 78% of the study's respondents, Nielsen research found significant national and regional differences regarding this and other mediums. Word of mouth, for example, generates considerable levels of trust across much of Asia Pacific. Six of the top ten markets that rely most on "recommendations from consumers" are in this region, including Hong Kong (93%), Taiwan (91%) and Indonesia (89%). At the other end of the global spectrum, Europeans, generally, are least likely to trust what they hear from other consumers, particularly in Denmark (62%) and Italy (64%). The reliability of consumer opinions posted online - which rated third, at 61% overall - also varies throughout the world, scoring highest in North America and Asia, at 66 and 62% respectively. Among individual markets, web-based opinions such as Blogs are most trusted in South Korea (81%) and Taiwan (76%), while scoring lowest, at 35%, in Finland.


TVBR TV News
Belo to split; Shive heading
new TV company

Belo Corporation is set to become the nation's largest pure play television company (assuming that Hearst-Argyle goes private), splitting itself by spinning off its newspaper business into a new company, to be called A.H. Belo Corporation. Wall Street welcomed the announcement, pushing the company's stock up sharply. Bear Stearns analyst Victor Miller noted that he had been advocating such a split since January. Still, he was a bit surprised to see it actually happen and immediately upgraded the stock to "Outperform" from "Peer Perform." Why split in two? Miller noted that Belo gets about 70% of its EBITDA from television, but its stock has been trading at a multiple barely above that of the pure play newspaper companies. "With BLC getting 'marked to market,' we believe that the shares should trade at 25.00+, offering 40%+ upside from here. The company's seeming reluctance to explore this potentiality and cited regulatory issues (which we thought were not issues) held us back from this earlier," Miller told clients.

When the split comes, which is expected to be in Q1 of 2008, Dunia Shive (pictured), currently President and COO of Belo, will become President and CEO of Belo Corporation, the surviving TV company. Robert Decherd, currently Chairman and CEO, will become Non-Executive Chairman. Belo Corporation will own and operate 20 television stations reaching 14% of US TV households and their associated Internet sites, plus two regional cable news channels: Northwest Cable News in the Pacific Northwest and Texas Cable News. The company will have approximately 3,200 employees and annual revenues of more than 750 million. Decherd, meanwhile, will be Chairman, President and CEO of the spin-off, A.H. Belo Corporation. It will own The Dallas Morning News, The Providence Journal and The Press-Enterprise, which serves the Inland Empire region of California, along with their associated Internet sites. It will have about 3,800 employees and annual revenues of approximately 750 million.

TVBR observation: You don't have to be involved in the newspaper business to know that it is going through tough times. TV, meanwhile, is on the upswing. Yesterday's price surge makes it clear that investors are excited about being able to own shares of the Belo television group without the drag of the newspaper side. By the way, the TV side will hold onto all of the company debt, over 1.2 billion, so the newspaper company will start out debt-free. Just how much more attractive is the TV business? In calculating the estimated values of the new pure play companies, Vic Miller applied a multiple of 12 times estimated 2007 EBITDA to the TV company and only 7.5 times to the newspaper. Exactly how many shares of the new company current shareholders will receive is yet to be determined, but if you assume it is one for one (102.9 million shares of each company), Miller estimates that the newspaper company shares are worth 6.52 each and the TV company shares 18.88, for an implied value of 25.40 per share for the pre-split company.


Transactions
4.05M WDCD-AM & WPTR-FM Albany-Schenectady-Troy NY (Clifton Park NY) from Kimtron Inc. (Donald B. Crawford) to DJRA Broadcasting LLC. (Donald B. Crawford Jr.). Cash/debt assumption. [File date 9/17/07.]

2.9M KGRP-FM Santa Rosa CA from Ace Radio Corporation (Stephen Hackerman) to Redwood Empire Stereocasters (Gordon D. Zlot, Thomas G. Skinner). 145K escrow, 2.455M cash at closing, 300K note. Superduopoly with KZST-FM, KZJY-FM. LMA 10/1/07. Station recently began operation; seller must reimburse FCC for bidding credit. [File date 9/14/07.]


Stock Talk
Record day on Wall Street
Growing confidence that the worst of the credit crunch has passed sent stocks into record territory on Monday. The Dow Industrials surged past the 14K mark to close at 14,088, up 192 points, or 1.4%, for the day.

Radio stocks surged as well. The Radio Index rose 4.370, or 3.6%, to 124.338. Saga was the biggest mover, up 13.9%. Entravision rose 7.2% and Salem 6.6%.


Radio Stocks

Here's how stocks fared on Monday

Company Symbol Close Change Company Symbol Close Change

Arbitron

ARB

46.58

+1.24

Google

GOOG

582.55

+15.28

Beasley

BBGI

7.51

unch

Hearst-Argyle

HTV

25.74

-0.22

CBS CI. B CBS

31.06

-0.44

Journal Comm.

JRN

9.82

+0.34

CBS CI. A CBSa

31.06

-0.45

Lincoln Natl.

LNC

67.35

+1.38

Citadel CDL
4.17 +0.01

Radio One, Cl. A

ROIA

3.88

+0.18

Clear Channel

CCU

37.36

-0.08

Radio One, Cl. D

ROIAK

3.87

+0.14

Cox Radio

CXR

13.62

+0.57

Regent

RGCI

2.63

unch

Cumulus

CMLS

10.39

+0.17

Saga Commun.

SGA

8.36

+1.02

Debut Bcg.

DBTB

1.10

+0.08

Salem Comm.

SALM

8.53

+0.53

Disney

DIS

34.65

+0.26

Sirius Sat. Radio

SIRI

3.49

unch

Emmis

EMMS

5.11

+0.17

Spanish Bcg.

SBSA

2.55

-0.03

Entercom

ETM

19.51

+0.18

SWMX

SMWX

0.05

-0.01

Entravision

EVC

9.88

+0.66

Westwood One

WON

2.76

+0.01

Fisher

FSCI

50.75

+0.88

XM Sat. Radio

XMSR

14.56

+0.39


Bounceback

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Below the Fold
Executive Comment
Your "to do" list for 2008
Bob Harper from Paragon adds his input and reactions...

Ad Business Report
US ad growth to slow
Before 2008 Olympics but ZO says the whole industry would benefit from Beijing...

Media Markets & Money
Banta slowing encircling
The Big Apple already has a pair of station in the shadow of New York City...

Entertainment Media
Business Report
Detroit's Free FM
Goes all Sports in simulcast and another "Free FM" bites the dust...



Stations for Sale

NewEng Collegetown FM
Highly profitable AC station w. Red Sox rights, owned tower, only signal in market. Asking 8.5x trailing BCF: 950K. Inquiries 781-848-4201 or
e-mail: [email protected]
WEB: radiostationsforsale.net

Florida Resort FM
Immediate ownership opportunity; partner retiring. Sale or equity investor, terms available. Rated market, high growth area. Excellent facility. Meet at NAB/Charlotte
E-mail: [email protected]

Market your Stations For Sale
in our daily epapers.

Contact
June Barnes
[email protected]


Radio Media Moves

Back in
the Zona

Spanish Broadcasting System's WCMQ-FM "Clásica 92.3 FM" Miami yesterday brought back popular DJ Javier Ceriani to "Zona Cero," the station's popular morning show. SBS says the return was "of Biblical proportions," as Ceriani and the show's producers tried to re-create their own Noah's Ark with two flare tigers, a Capuchin ape, a crocodile and the goat "Ifalina."

Going out on top
Yesterday was the last day on the air for Jeff Pigeon, who had hosted mornings on Emmis' WIBC-AM Indianapolis since 1988. Pigeon announced Friday that he had decided to hang up his headphones before listeners grew tired of him, as the Indianapolis Star reported. Pigeon said his departure was by mutual agreement with Emmis. Co-host Terri Stacy will now fly solo, backed up by sports reporter Jake Query and the WIBC news team.

Job swap at NPR
Andrea Seabrook, who has served as reporter and substitute host for NPR News since 2001, has joined "All Things Considered" as its weekend host. For the past four years, Seabrook has covered Congress for NPR News programs, most recently as Congressional Correspondent. Seabrook swaps jobs with Debbie Elliott, who has been named Congressional Correspondent after serving as weekend host of ATC since September 2005.




More News Headlines

US ad growth to slow before Olympics;
then a boost for TV
Growth in the US ad market here in the US will slow this year due to the credit squeeze and a housing slump, ZenithOptimedia said in its quarterly report yesterday. ZO cut its US growth forecast for 2007 to 2.5% from 3.3%, reflecting the sharp drop in property and construction advertising. But ZO said the whole industry would benefit in 2008 from the Beijing Olympics and predicted the games would help lift TV's share of the global ad market to a record 38.2% that year. ZO said TV would increase its share of global ad spending to 38.2% from 37.9% in 2007. Coverage of the Olympics would give an extra boost to television, particularly in China and its neighbors, despite the medium losing market share in many countries in North America and western Europe.

In 2008 ZO expects television's share of ad expenditure to fall 0.3 percentage points to 32.4% in North America, and 0.5% percentage points to 30.4% in western Europe. The group also again revised upwards its forecast for Internet ad growth to 29.9% this year, from an estimate of 28.6% made three months ago. It expects 85% growth between 2006 and 2009. Online video and local search are the new, fast-growing segments, but display, classified and the rest of search advertising was still growing rapidly. ZO expects Internet advertising to account for 9.5% of all expenditure in 2009, fractionally up from the 9.4% ZO forecast three months ago. Newspapers are expected to suffer as a result of the Internet growth, with the medium's share of world ad expenditure predicted to fall to 26.2% by 2009 from 29% in 2006.

Arbitron willing
to work with NYC

Arbitron isn't shutting down the Portable People Meter panel it just fired up in pre-currency mode in the New York market, as demanded by City Council Speaker Christine Quinn (10/1/07 RBR #191). But the ratings company says "we appreciate" the interest of the city government in the new PPM service. "We are more than willing to present to the Council a complete review of our panel recruitment methods, the composition of the sample and how we apply the two statistical disciplines of random sampling and of weighting to ensure the validity of the Portable People Meter ratings as well as to ensure that all segments of the population are properly represented in the Portable People Meter surveys," Arbitron said in a statement sent to RBR late yesterday.




RBR Radar 2007
Radio News you won't read any where else. RBR--First, Accurate, and Independently Owned.

Publisher Perspective
NAB 2007 and Radio's Future
"No time to either sing praise or be critical but the time is now to think about the balance of the decade." This observation was from the NAB 2005 Philly convention. Since '05 nothing has changed and no less improved. The leaders I talked with spoke and looked real tired because during the past 5 to 7 years they have created no value for their shareholders - investors and it has beaten them down. (more in this RBR report)
10/01/07 RBR #191

Guidance for 2008
to 2010 and start now
If you sit and wait for someone else to do the heavy lifting for you then it is easier to just pucker up and plant your lips on the back of a tailpipe and breath in. If you did not experiment this year with ideas then do so now. Point 1. HD and Websites must be established as separate divisions inside your organization. Point 6. End Cluster Management and Programming. 1 GM and 1 PD can not do it all well. (more in this RBR report)
10/01/07 RBR #191

Small market radio is sizzling!
There was no gloom and doom Friday at the "Small market frenzy, boom or bust" panel at the NAB Radio Show. Small market operators are excited about growing revenues from lots of local accounts.

RBR observation: This was certainly a different atmosphere from when the big market group operators were talking last week. The kind of fun radio that attracted most of us to the business still exists in small markets. The one big complaint heard at the small market session was about people. It is just so hard to hire, train and motivate good sales people in small markets.
10/01/07 RBR #191

PPM pushback in NYC
The NY Post reports City Council Speaker Christine Quinn and a group of her colleagues Friday urged a listener-research group to ditch PPM as the new way of monitoring New Yorkers' radio habits-saying the method will skew results against minority-audience stations. The latest episode is similar to the uproar when Nielsen was planning to use new technology to measure audiences.

RBR observation: Arbitron offered no comment at deadline, however, the studies Arbitron has released so far on measuring minority listening with PPM indicate the numbers have actually improved. Indeed, PPM isn't perfect, but it's better. "Crying the PPM wolf"
10/01/07 RBR #191

Radio 2020 launched in Charlotte
The joint effort by NAB, RAB and the HD Digital Alliance was kicked off by NAB President David Rehr, calling it "our roadmap to building radio's future." One key goal is to make sure "broadcast signals are available on every gadget, everywhere." The 13-year effort to re-brand and reignite radio as the industry reaches its 100th anniversary was built on research commissioned from Kelly O'Keefe, a noted expert in brand strategy. Other primary goals of Radio 2020 include innovation to meet changing consumer demands and reigniting consumer interest in radio.

RBR observation: Early in his speech, Rehr noted something we've heard from many of our readers. Why use the term "terrestrial radio?" As he correctly noted, that doesn't mean anything to consumers and doesn't accurately describe radio anyway. It is important for radio to frame the debate when radio broadcasting is discussed on Capitol Hill. That's Rehr's job and he seems to be the right guy for the job. But reigniting consumer excitement about radio is up to you, operating in your community. Innovation is still rare, but it sounds to us that the opportunity is much like the early days of FM's assent. Want a new channel that will appeal to the hard to attract 18-25 demo? Why not give some of the 18-25 year olds at your station free-rein (within FCC rules, of course) to program an HD2 channel? What they come up with might surprise you. And it might even make you some money down the road as enough HD receivers get into the market to reach critical mass.
09/28/07 RBR #190

2008 looking very different
for Radio and TV
Is 2008 "a year in the balance" for radio? Bear Stearns analyst Victor Miller asked that question at the financing session that kicked off the NAB Radio Show in Charlotte. For the first time since radio deregulation in 1996, TV stocks now trade at a higher average EBITDA multiple than radio stocks. That's come about because the average pure-play TV stock is up 35% this year, while the average radio stock (excluding Clear Channel and Cumulus, who have buyout deals to go private) is down 30%. The best Miller could say for radio, though, is that it may have to deal with fewer negatives in 2008. Satellite radio is dealing with its own problems. Mainstream operators who have seen ratings and revenues shift to radio groups focused on Hispanic and Urban formats stand to bounce back as PPM rolls out to more markets.
09/27/07 RBR #189


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