Volume 21, Issue 88, Jim Carnegie, Editor & Publisher
Wednesday Morning May 5th, 2004

Radio News ®

Full recovery expected for Lowry Mays
As he began the company's quarterly conference call yesterday, the first order of business was for Clear Channel President and COO Mark Mays to assure investors that his father - - company founder, Chairman and CEO Lowry Mays - - was doing well after emergency surgery (5/4/04 RBR Daily Epaper #87) and would soon be back in the saddle. Later, as analysts asked questions of both Mark and CFO Randall Mays, Mark noted that Lowry is anxious to get back to work and is "already barkin' orders at Randall and I." As Clear Channel reported its Q1 numbers yesterday, the company's announcement confirmed RBR's report that Lowry Mays, who is 68, had been rushed to a hospital on Friday with this statement from Mark Mays: "Lowry will not be able to join us on the conference call today because last Friday he woke up with numbness on his left side and was admitted to the hospital for testing. The doctors found some swelling of his brain caused by localized bleeding and a small blood clot. He underwent surgery Friday afternoon to relieve pressure caused by the swelling. The surgery was successful and Lowry is in good spirits and mentally alert. He even started grilling me about the business shortly after he came out of surgery. We and his team of doctors expect a complete recovery."

Saga chief says ad rates are firming
"We're far from really out of the woods," Saga CEO Ed Christian warned analysts yesterday in his Q1 conference call. But he did say that pacings have improved and rates are firming in most markets. The problem right now, he said, is that national ad sales are soft, so the growth is coming from local. For the top 100 markets, Christian said national sales were down 2% for the first quarter. "Year to date, New York is pacing off 16%, which is pretty huge," he noted. Saga isn't in New York, but for its largest markets, Christian noted that national ad sales were down 20.7% in Columbus, OH for Q1 and 18.5% in Milwaukee. Despite those national troubles, Saga is predicting another up quarter for Q2, telling Wall Street that pacings are currently 6-8% ahead of last year. Having complained in the past about competitors cutting rates, Christian said that rates are firming up in all of Saga's markets except for Columbus.

Dickey confirms that Arbitron
was the safe course for Cumulus
Cumulus Media CEO Lew Dickey tells us that RBR's analysis was correct - - his company stuck with Arbitron for ratings in its smaller markets because it didn't want to rock the boat with agencies and advertisers. But he's hoping that putting pressure on Arbitron will lead to improvements that reduce ratings volatility in smaller markets.
| Full Story Click Here
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Eastlan chief not surprised by Cumulus' Arbitron deal
Eastlan President Mike Gould said he had not heard from Cumulus Media for some time, so he wasn't surprised to get a call from COO Jon Pinch telling him that the company was renewing its ratings contract with Arbitron - - a few hours before CEO Lew Dickey made the same announcement to Wall Street analysts.
| Full Story Click Here
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Radio service takes up First Amendment fight
Consultancy Jacobs Media is starting up a website which will encourage individuals who like what they hear on the radio these days to provide Congress and the FCC with some counterpoint to the loud calls to clean up the airwaves. It will attempt to inform citizens about the free speech implications of plans to enforce decency. The website is called SaveRadio.org. JM's Fred Jacobs said, "There is a large gap between the opinions about indecency that are being expressed by the FCC and Congress and what we're hearing from radio listeners in America. The purpose of this site is to provide educations, as well as equal voice for this silent majority to communicate to their elected representatives, and the regulators who are setting the tone." The site will provide access to legislators and regulators, and will also gather signatures for a petition headed in their direction.

Interep releases latest
Black consumer market study

Interep's just-released "Black Consumers - - A $688B and growing market," says Black buying power is increasing at a faster rate - - over 116% since 1990 - - than the total US buying power (+92%). Some highlights: In 2003, the nation's share of total buying power that is Black was 8.4%, up from 7.4% in 1990. From 1990 to 2001, college enrollment by recent high school graduates increased 60% for Blacks, compared to just 17% for all races in the US.The number of Blacks in managerial and professional specialty occupations grew by 157% in the 19 year period ending in 2002. Approximately 1 in 8 people in the US is black - - 12.7% of the population. * The Black population grew 50% from 1950 to 1970, and another 63% from 1970 to 2002. Over 36M strong in 2002, the Black population is projected to grow an additional 23% by 2020.* By 2050, the Black population is expected to grow to more than 61M--an additional 67%.


Measuring the Media Moguls

Citadel:
Farid Suleman, Chairman & CEO

2003 stock performance: +17.74%
2003 CEO pay: -44.05%

Farid Suelman succeeded in getting Citadel Broadcasting through Wall Street's IPO window in 2003. But since his $1 million bonus from 2002 wasn't repeated, his paycheck actually declined by 44.05%. | Full Story Click Here |


Conference Calls, Q1 2004

Clear Channel (finally) outperforms the radio industry
After several quarters of trailing the radio industry, or doing no better than keeping up, Wall Street analysts gave a collective cheer yesterday when Clear Channel finally produced a quarter of leading the industry. While the RAB recently reported that total radio revenues were up 4% in Q1, Clear Channel posted growth of 5%. And optimism is carrying through for Q2, with a gain of 5-6% predicted. | Full Story Click Here |

Gains for both radio and TV at Saga
Radio may be a much bigger part of Saga Communications, but TV was the star performer in Q1, while radio posted a good quarter as well. Overall, net revenues rose 11.6% to $29.2 million and station operating income (SOI) gained 18.1% to $8.7 million. On a same station basis, revenues were up 8% and SOI 16.1%. On a pro forma basis, radio revenues were up 6.4% to $26.4 million and SOI rose 18.5% to $8.3 million. TV revenues shot up 20.6% to $3.2 million and SOI gained a whopping 60.5% to $533,000. While some other radio group CEOs have been telling Wall Street that the market for stations should improve this year, Christian isn't buying it. "All of the low hanging fruit is gone," he said, so the acquisition process will continue to be slow. Even so, Saga did announce a new acquisition - - a $3.5 million deal to add WXLS-FM to its Champaign, IL cluster (see Media, Markets & Money).


Adbiz ©

Grubbs on this year's upfront
On speculating on the broadcast upfront, PHD CEO Steve Grubbs thinks the numbers will be very close to last year's 9.3B. "I think if there is an increase in revenue for the networks, it will be a minimal increase. But who knows, we're still three weeks out. A lot of budgets haven't been firmed up yet. Now last year at this point in time, I probably would have said the same thing, but there was a little more strength to the scatter market last year, so we sensed there might be potentially a stronger marketplace. But within the last week or two, as budgets firmed up, a whole slew of dollars just flooded in from, not only our clients, but other people's clients. And that's what really surprised the market. I don't think we'll see that this year." And while we hear everyone in attendance at the recent Network Upfront Discussion Group (4/9 RBR Daily Epaper #85) agreed not to talk to the press about the session that addressed upfront issues and problems, Grubbs wasn't there. He gives RBR his quick take on the process for the broadcast upfront: "I think it's ludicrous that $9B is essentially laid down within about a 72-hour time frame. I don't know that that's in anyone's best interest to do things that way. You want to have time to weigh your options and to do thorough comparisons when you're under a tight time frame. And there's concern that prices may increase. I'm not sure that's the best way for us to be operating."

Automakers threatening to cut TV ad spending
As the official start of the TV upfront nears (5/17), automakers are publicly threatening to cut or pull TV spend if rates start resembling last year's double-digit increases. Bill Burton, former head of Eastman Radio and current President of the Detroit Radio Advertising Group (DRAG), meets and greets with most of the motor city auto execs on a daily basis. He tells RBR/TVBR he's also hearing complaints about audience numbers.
| Full Story Click Here
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Hogan, Olds, Press meeting with auto execs
Bill Burton, President of the Detroit Radio Advertising Group (DRAG), also tells RBR that the automakers' disappointment with TV (see related story) is being shaped into an opportunity for radio. "Next week (5/10), I have CC Radio CEO John Hogan, pictured, flying in Monday night, along with Katz CEO Stu Olds and [President/Katz Dimensions] Bonnie Press. I have them set up with Ford, GM and Chrysler on the upfront. They are going to at least be there on their end saying, 'Hey, why not radio?' They called and asked if I could get them in the right doors and I did." Says Press, about Katz Dimensions: "What has evolved over time is our ability to create and the industry demand for programs that bring advertisers and agencies creative radio-based solutions to their marketing challenges...This is not 'spots & dots'. Marketing Dimensions has the capability to reach virtually every market in the country through our consolidated portfolio of represented client stations." RBR observation: We wonder if Olds and Press are going to the meeting to represent Clear Channel radio stations only, or all of Katz-repped stations as well. We assume all stations, since Katz Dimensions reps a ton of independents. Either way, this is how to get the job done - - getting radio to 10% of the ad pie. Tell the good story of radio while TV is being questioned.

Chemistri Chairman leaves for DaimlerChrysler
Gary Topolewski is resigning his post as Chairman and Chief Creative Officer at Chemistri (the Leo Burnett agency created for GM's Cadillac and Pontiac), for DaimlerChrysler's agency - - BBDO Detroit. Topolewski, 47, will join the Omnicom agency as co-chief creative officer where he will first focus on the Chrysler brand, as well as campaigns for Jeep and Dodge. The defection could throw a wrench into some successful GM marketing efforts, including a widely-acclaimed Cadillac campaign that revived the classic brand and plans for new Pontiac models. Topolewski's move follows news last week that Chemistri CEO Patrick Sherwood would leave the agency to pursue other ventures. Leo Burnett Worldwide President Tom Bernardin told Reuters the agency was "looking carefully at the circumstances surrounding (Topolewski's) recruitment at BBDO," without elaborating. He said Topolewski agreed to stay on during a transition period and that a search would begin for a new creative leader.


Media, Markets & Money tm

It's champagne time in Champaign for Saga
Saga Communications announced that it is upgrading its three-FM Champaign IL superduopoly cluster to four stations with the acquisition of WXLS-FM. Broker Ed Henson reports that the seller is I.A.I. Broadcasting Inc., part of Terry Forcht's Key Broadcasting, which is expected to bank about $3.25M when the deal closes later this year. The station, the former WIAI-FM, operates on 99.1 mHz out of Danville IL. It was a top-contender there back in the days when it used to be an Arbitron market in its own right. However, that location is not an advantage when competing for ratings in Champaign, where the station is back in the pack. The station will be joining Country WIXY-FM, Oldies WKIO-FM and Hot AC WLRW-FM in the Saga Champaign portfolio.


Washington Beat

Dour power sour on WOUR
The dour power is the FCC Enforcement Bureau, and the inspiration for its ill humor is Clear Channel's WOUR-FM in Utica NY. The station's antenna suffered from poor visibility because "...its painting was chipped and faded," and hit the company with a $10K fine. Clear Channel pointed out that it was participating in an alternative inspection program negotiated between the FCC and the New York State Broadcasters Association, called appropriately enough the Alternative Broadcast Inspection Program. Under terms of this agreement, the NYSBA would conduct an inspection and head off one from the FCC. However, the agreement doesn't preclude an FCC inspection, and at the time, the Commission was conducting a "field-wide targeted tower safety program." The FCC also noted that "according to the explicit terms of the Agreement between the Commission and the NYSBA, a station is not exempt from the Field Office inspections based on the agency's targeted compliance program..." In short, and as per usual, the FCC has politely reaffirmed the licensee's guilt and asked it to pay up.

Will ENG justify the means?
It's all up to the FCC, but the agency will have something solid to work with - - a three-way agreement between wireless carrier Nextel Communications, the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) and the Association of Maximum Service Television (MSTV), involving over $500M and some massive spectrum migrations.
| Full Story Click Here
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Senate looks at SHVIA
The battle lines were as one would expect as the Senate Commerce Committee looked into the reauthorization of the Satellite Home Viewers Improvement Act of 1999 (SHVIA), parts of which expire this year. Broadcasters would like the Senate to follow the lead of the House Subcommittee on Telecommunications and the Internet, which recently marked up and forwarded to the full Energy & Commerce Committee a bill on the topic. | Full Story Click Here |


Programming

Jones names Lifetime Mornings host
Jones Radio Networks and Lifetime TV have announced the host for their new syndicated co-venture, "Lifetime Mornings." Donna Britt, currently doing middays at Country station KMTK-FM Bend, OR will relocate to Nashville to host the show that's slated to launch this summer.


Transactions

$1,000,000 WOTX-FM Manchester (Concord NH). 100% of Capitol Broadcasting Corporation Inc. from Concord Broadcasting LLC (Bruce G. Danziger) to Nassau Broadcasting Holdings (Louis F. Mercatanti). $100K escrow, balance in cash at closing. Superduopoly overlap with WJYY-FM Concord, WNNH-FM Henniker; additional overlap with WNHI-FM Belmont NH (Lake Winnepesaukee). [File date 3/30/04.]

$825,000 KEXS-AM Kansas City (Excelsior Springs MO) from Jeffco Television Corporation (Brad L. Campbell) to Kansas City Catholic Network Inc. (James O'Laughlin, Carolyn O'Laughlin, Jim Kafka). $25K escrow, balance in cash at closing. Non-profit buyer will switch to noncommercial operation of station. [File date 3/30/04.]


Stock Talk

Stocks flat after Fed stands pat
Stock prices ended Tuesday's session pretty much where they had started, with traders taking in stride a statement from the Federal Reserve that it would leave interest rates unchanged, but indicated that it would soon move them upward at a "measured" pace. The Dow Industrials inched up three points to 10,317.

Radio stocks were also little changed. The Radio Index slipped 0.138, or less than 0.1%, to finish at 264.674. Beasley was the big mover, a day after reporting Q1 results. It rose 4.1%. Among companies who reported Tuesday, Clear Channel slipped 0.6% and Saga gained 0.5%.


Radio Stocks

Here's how stocks fared on Tuesday

Company Symbol Close Change Company Symbol Close Change

Arbitron

ARB

$36.96

-$0.16

Jeff-Pilot

JP

$49.76

+$0.12

Beasley

BBGI

$15.39

+$0.60

Journal Comm.

JRN

$17.74

+$0.30

Citadel CDL $16.95 -$0.30

Radio One, Cl. A

ROIA

$19.06

-$0.06

Clear Channel

CCU

$41.78

-$0.25

Radio One, Cl. D

ROIAK

$19.00

-$0.17

Cox Radio

CXR

$20.69

-$0.16

Regent

RGCI

$6.43

+$0.03

Cumulus

CMLS

$21.01

-$0.19

Saga Commun.

SGA

$19.75

+$0.10

Disney

DIS

$23.02

-$0.11

Salem Comm.

SALM

$30.02

-$0.01

Emmis

EMMS

$24.00

-$0.07

Sirius Sat. Radio

SIRI

$3.43

unch

Entercom

ETM

$46.16

-$0.03

Spanish Bcg.

SBSA

$9.76

-$0.03

Entravision

EVC

$8.96

-$0.04

Univision

UVN

$34.02

+$0.07

Fisher

FSCI

$51.50

-$0.13

Viacom, Cl. A

VIA

$39.08

unch

Gaylord

GET

$31.28

-$0.07

Viacom, Cl. B

VIAb

$38.87

+$0.09

Hearst-Argyle

HTV

$26.09

-$0.06

Westwood One

WON

$29.83

+$0.02

Interep

IREP

$2.10

+$0.05

XM Sat. Radio

XMSR

$25.39

+$0.07

International Bcg.

IBCS

$0.03

unch

-

-

-

-


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Upped & Tapped

CC Radio names Susan Karis RVP/Arizona
Charlie Rahilly, CC Radio SVP/Sunbelt Region, announced the appointment of Susan Karis to Regional Vice President, Arizona. Her responsibilities will include overseeing the eighteen CC stations in Arizona. She will maintain primary responsibility for the Phoenix market while working closely with the managers in Tucson and Yuma.

Sirius puts Scott Lindy in charge of Country
Sirius announced that Scott Lindy is joining the company as Director of Country Programming, responsible for overseeing its six country music channels. A seven-year vet of CC Radio, Lindy joins Sirius from Baltimore, where he was OM for WPOC-FM, WSMJ-FM and WCAO-AM, and PD for WPOC-FM.


Competing Media

Al Gore strikes deal for cable news network
After weeks of negotiations in which the deal was on (4/1/04 TVBR Daily Epaper #64), then off (4/5/04 TVBR Daily Epaper #66), former Vice President Al Gore has now struck a deal with Vivendi to buy Newsworld International (NWI) and re-launch it as a youth-oriented all-news cable network. "This will not be a political network," Gore emphasized, adding, "These stories will be in a voice that young people recognize and from a point of view they identify as their own." Terms weren't disclosed, but previous reports had put the pricetag around $70 million.
TVBR observation: Now the real work begins. Gore and business partner Joel Hyatt are going to have to get cable carriage for this new network - - and that's going to take lots of arm-twisting. Most cable systems don't need or want another all-news channel on their basic tier. Gore and Hyatt's INdTV Holdings says NWI will continue to be produced by Canada's CBC, so cable operators will have to be convinced that the old product is going to be spruced up to really appeal to younger viewers. At this point, NWI claims to be in 17 million US households, mostly via DirecTV and on the digital tiers of some Time Warner and Comcast systems. Making this business plan work is going to be a lot tougher than running for President.


Arbitrends

Market Results
| Birmingham |
| Fresno |
| Greensboro |
| Knoxville |
| Memphis |
|
Norfolk |
| Oklahoma City |
| Sacramento |


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Lowry Mays undergoes
emergency surgery
Clear Channel CEO Chairman and CEO Lowry Mays underwent emergency surgery last Friday,4/30, in San Antonio and is recovering well. CCU email states the situation and condition, The doctors found some swelling of his brain caused by localized bleeding and a small blood clot. He underwent surgery Friday afternoon to relieve pressure caused by the swelling. The surgery was successful. 05/04/04 RBR #87

Cumulus sticking with Arbitron
After putting pressure on Arbitron by running a parallel test with ratings rival Eastlan, Cumulus Media is sticking with Arbitron for ratings, including its smaller markets. Dickey didn't mention the Eastlan experiment in his conference call, nor did he immediately respond to an RBR email asking about it. RBR Observation: In the series History of Radio Ratings in February RBR Solutions Magazine - while Mr. Dickey mentioned the success in Sioux Falls without numbers, we think he should know that in markets that size, agencies are far less important than they are in Houston, Nashville or even Toledo. We were then interested to see how well his largest-market salespeople are able to deal with a savvy media buyer (who has the numbers at his/her disposal) when they don't. Or who won't accept numbers from anyone other than Arbitron. And there's the rub of any alternative service: if it doesn't have agency acceptance, it's not worth the powder to blow it up. RBR waits for Dickey's reply but maybe we just read the answer to the question.
05/04/04 RBR #87

Franken eyes a seat on Capitol Hill
Al Franken's career detour to radio may be just temporary. the Air America host has been talking seriously with his family about returning to his boyhood home state of Minnesota to run against Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN) in 2008. RBR Observation: Al, which job do you really want? Radio or politics? Let your affiliates know something besides a stand up routine. Air America do you have an answer or are you asking the same question? 05/04/04 RBR #87

Measuring the Media Moguls - Beasley Broadcast Group: George Beasley, Chairman & CEO
Beasley Broadcast Group is very much a family-run operation and the big payoff is in the Beasley family's large stock holdings. Chairman & CEO George Beasley got a small salary increase last year, but that was more than counteracted by a decline in the company's payment on his life insurance policy. In 2003, George Beasley received a salary of $574,867 and a bonus of $100,000. But because the amount that the company had to pay on a life insurance policy dropped to $15,222 from $44,615 the previous year, his total cash compensation declined 3.34% to $669,091. 05/04/04 RBR #87

Cable readies for best
upfront ever - - Part II
CAB Last year, cable took in about $5.4B in upfront spending. Some say this year's could hit $6.4B. Cunningham says fragmentation is probably the single worst-applied word in understanding media marketing. "The more insights you have about your target's passions - - the behaviors, their affinities - - then multichannel is not fragmentation. It's not a problem. It's an opportunity - - it's a huge opportunity."
05/04/04 RBR #87


Are you looking to make a difference? Fed up with the BIG companies?
Archway Broadcasting Group, a private group, is looking for a dynamic Market Manager for our Little Rock, Arkansas cluster.

* Do you have a proven track record of delivering consistent results based on realistic annual budgets?
* Do you have a strong history of performance based on leadership and development of talent that wins?

Al Vicente
Archway Broadcasting Group
1513 E. Cleveland Ave. Bldg. 100B
East Point, GA 30344

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