Welcome to RBR's Daily Epaper
Volume 21, Issue 195, Jim Carnegie, Editor & Publisher
Wednesday Morning October 6th, 2004

Radio News ®

Viacom and SBS pact for cross-platform
assault on Univision

Viacom and Spanish Broadcasting System announced a strategic alliance targeting Hispanic consumers through a multimedia platform that would include radio, TV and outdoor throughout the US. The announcement was made by Les Moonves, Co-President/Co-COO of Viacom and Raul Alarcon, Chairman/CEO of SBS.

RBR observation: Forget about this move going against Clear Channel's recent announcement to convert 20-25 stations to Spanish-language, this is head-to head with Univision. | More... |

Welcome to San Diego!
If you are, indeed, reading this Epaper just north of Tijuana, you're likely getting ready to attend the annual Dickstein Shapiro Morin & Oshinsky financial confab kicking off the 2004 NAB Radio Show. This year's keynote speaker is Bear, Stearns & Co. broadcasting analyst Victor Miller. He's been one of the closest observers of the machinations of the Philadelphia Federal Appeals Court and its convoluted ruling remanding most of the FCC's media ownership rulemaking for yet another round of hand-wringing in Washington. But we expect he'll also have plenty to say about a more pressing topic - - how poorly radio stocks are doing on Wall Street, due, of course, to this year's dismal performance in radio ad sales. Based on what we've been hearing lately from various analysts, we doubt that he's going to have much encouragement to offer. The recent trend has been to cut radio revenue growth projections - - both for the current year and 2005. Other panelists include lenders, brokers and a few group heads - - Lew Dickey from Cumulus, David Field from Entercom, Doug Kiel from Journal Broadcast, Frank Osborn from Qantum and Jeff Smulyan from Emmis. Although they may not like where their stock prices stand on Wall Street, we expect them to affirm that station prices remain as high as ever - - as detailed in the new issue of RBR Solutions magazine being distributed at the Radio Show - - with demand from would-be buyers still far outstripping available inventory. Exhibit one: The deal Emmis just announced to buy WLUP-FM Chicago. RBR is in San Diego to report on the financing seminar and the rest of this week's action.

Ensign tries to get indecency out of DoD bill
Sen. John Ensign (R-NV) has written a letter to the leaders of the Armed Services Committee, John Warner (R-VA) and Carl Levin (D-MI), requesting that they take an extraneous amendments regarding the FCC out of a reauthorization bill for the Department of Defense. The main thrust of the amendment is to increase the FCC's capacity for fining those found to have broadcast indecent material by a factor of at least 10. Ensign supported Sen. Sam Brownback's (R-KS) original indecency bill, but feels it is out of place on the defense bill for a number of reasons, paramount among them the importance of the defense measure. He argued that extraneous items added to the indecency bills put forth by both the Senate and the House are controversial and could slow down work on the DoD measure. Hence, they should be considered on their own. The Parents Television Council has reacted swiftly, organizing a letter-writing campaign of its own directed at Warner, asking him to make sure that some form of fine increase is included when the bill is prepared for its trip to the desk in the Oval Office.


AFTRA-thought? Others trying to scrub DoD bill
Broadcast talent union American Federation of Television & Radio Artists (AFTRA) has major problems with the move to increase indecency fines. It's not the fines themselves so much as it's the threat to broaden the scope of the fines, currently for the most part limited to station licensees, to include the artists who actually utter the indecency language or perform the indecent acts. AFTRA contends that management knows full well what it is doing when it encourages air talent to play close to the edge. If they stand to reap the benefits when such programming attracts huge audiences, they must also take the risk when it strays over the line. "This last-minute push to hold individual performers, announcers and broadcast journalists accountable for the programming decisions of corporate licensees represents a clear threat to the First Amendment and will have an immediate and significant chilling effect on artistic freedom," wrote AFTRA in a message to its membership. "When you take into account that the definition of indecency is an amorphous, moving target and that the Federal Communications Commission has never fined an individual performer, announcer or broadcast journalist, this legislation represe4nts a striking shift away from the FCC's long-standing policy that holed that the broadcast licensee is responsible for programming decisions."

NASCAR nails driver for s-word
Dale Earnhardt Jr. was knocked out of first place in the NASCAR 2004 driver standings by letting the "s-word" slip out during a post-race TV interview on Sunday 10/3/04, according to the Associated Press. He received a 10K dollar fine from the racing organization, and lost 25 points in the standings, turning a 13-point lead into a 12-point deficit. NASCAR decided to get tough with its drivers, docking them points as well as cash, back in February, when the FCC was getting tough with any sort of broadcast indecency. NASCAR has issued fines and docked points twice up until now, for slip-ups during live radio interviews in March and June.

Ross under attack
Republicans in Washington state are claiming that Democratic House candidate Dave Ross violated the law by continuing his daily radio show after announcing his candidacy. According to the Seattle Post-Intelligencer, they've filed a complaint with the FEC. Ross is running in the 8th District against Dave Reichert in an attempt to claim the seat of retiring Republican Jennifer Dunn. Ross and his old station, KIRO-AM (Entercom) contend that they were well aware of the rules and did nothing wrong. They say it didn't matter when he announced his candidacy - - he left the show upon filing formally for the race.


Adbiz ©

Mandel talks to RBR/TVBR re:
ROI shortfalls on creative

Speaking at the International Radio & Television Society Foundation "Newsmaker Breakfast" yesterday, Jon Mandel, Chairman/MediaCom US and Chief Global Buying Officer at MediaCom Worldwide, said at a panel he's tired of media-side blame for lackluster ROI, and that if marketers are not getting the ROI they expect from their TV advertising, they should take a closer look at the creative. Mandel also blamed Wall Street analysts for advertisers' shift in thinking from brand building to immediate ROI: "Wall Street has screwed up the media business." | More... |

RegionalHelpWanted.com and Cupid.com
to utilize 30-second spots
RegionalHelpWanted.com announced the company will introduce 30-second commercials beginning with its Q4 creative release. "We applaud Clear Channel's initiative in acting to reduce clutter on the radio" said Eric P. Straus, President and CEO of RHW. "In keeping with our company's tradition of focusing on the needs of our media partners, we will be one of the first major radio advertisers to provide 30 second commercials as well as 60 second versions in all of our 250+ radio markets." Straus added, "We believe this industry shift is long overdue. As such, we are taking an early leadership position in demonstrating that 30 second spots are as good as sixties -- if they are done well". Bill Cloutier, EVP, echoed Straus's sentiments, "We believe we have the best creative talent in the business. (RegionalHelpWanted.com employs Dick Orkin's Radio Ranch and Cupid.com employs Roy Williams Advertising.) These are two of the greatest creative agencies doing radio today, and they have agreed to help us help radio by creating winning 30 second production." RegionalHelpWanted O&Os in strategic alliances with local media throughout North America--the world's largest network of local job boards in over 250 markets across the USA, Canada, and Mexico. Cupid.com is a subsidiary of RHW, which owns and operates websites in the singles/dating space.

Intel launches review
Intel has placed its 300 million global advertising account in review, tapping Select Resources International Santa Monica, CA to handle. The review is expected to take six to nine months. Incumbent Euro RSCG Worldwide NY will reportedly be invited to defend.


Media, Markets & Money tm

Salem, Univision engineer five market,
six station swap

When the dust clears on this like-kind exchange, there will be an AM/FM swap in Chicago, new stations for Salem in Dallas, Houston and Sacramento, and a new station for Univision in San Francisco. Each trader is a niche leader. Salem is a leading Religious radio station and network group, while Univision is the top Hispanic broadcaster in the US. Univision was strictly a player on the TV side for many years, but entered radio in a big way with its acquisition of Hispanic Broadcasting Corp. Salem picks up four stations: WIND-AM Chicago, KHCK-AM Dallas, KOBT-FM Houston (Winnie TX) and KOSL-FM Sacramento (Jackson CA). Univision gets WZFS-FM Chicago (Des Plaines IL) and KSFB-FM San Francisco (San Raphael CA).

"We are very pleased to have struck a deal that will improve our strong competitive positions in San Francisco and Chicago, the fourth and fifth largest Hispanic radio markets in the United States, said Univision Radio President McHenry Tichenor. "These moves reflect our commitment to deploy our resources to areas where we believe they will yield the greatest returns."

"This station swap presents a unique opportunity for Salem to expand our presence in four very attractive major markets," said Ed Atsinger, President/CEO of Salem. "We now can bring our syndicated News/Talk format into both Chicago and Houston, which are ideal markets for this format. In addition, we will further improve our clusters in Dallas and Sacramento."


Washington Beat

FEC wants to stay on upended rules
Federal Election Commission (FEC) has been ordered by a district court judge to rewrite its rules to better reflect the intentions of Congress as stated in the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act, attributed to John McCain (R-AZ) and Russ Feingold (D-WI) in the Senate, and Marty Meehan (D-MA) and Christopher Shays (R-CT) in the House. According to the Associated Press, the FEC is now pushing for a stay on the overturned rules until after the election. One of the main thrusts of the ruling was to get soft campaign donations out of the electoral process, but the cash found its way into the game anyway, primarily into the advertising budgets of 527 organizations.

RBR observation: Is there anybody out there who thinks there will be any changes made to the law before November? The damage has already been done in this election cycle. The FEC has shown that it has world-class ability to drag its feet, and it certainly has the wherewithal to stall for one more month.


Programming

Beasley shakes up Augusta
Beasley Broadcast Group announced it has introduced Augusta radio listeners to Today's Country and the Legends with 93.9 The Bulldog. 93.9 The Bulldog, replacing Oldies 93.9, will complement Beasley's existing Augusta country station, WKXC-FM KICKS 99, home of Augusta's continuous country favorites. Oldies 93.9 is moving to its new position at 102.7-FM. Additionally, WGUS 1480-AM will adopt the Christian format previously airing on 102.7 FM. In addition to 93.9 The Bulldog, KICKS 99, 102.7 FM and WGUS 1480-AM in Augusta, Beasley also owns WGAC 93.1-FM, WCHZ 95.1-FM, WSLT 98.3-FM, WGAC 580-AM, and WRDW 1630-AM.


Transactions

KFMR-FM Phoenix (Sun City West AZ) from Desert West Air Ranchers Corporation to Sun City Communications LLC.

WRBZ-AM Raleigh NC from Alchemy Communications LP #1 to Curtis Media Group Inc.

| More Details |


Stock Talk

Wall Street unimpressed with Viacom,
SBS announcement

We were surprised-the Viacom-SBS announcement (see news) failed to impress Wall Street for both Viacom stocks and Spanish Broadcasting System. Perhaps most already knew it was coming (see last Friday's stock report). SBS stock was down 1.92%, 19 cents to 9.72. Viacom A stock was down two cents to 35.91 and Viacom B was down ten cents to 35.45. Last Friday SBS stock was up 4.2%. Univision yesterday lost 35 cents, down to 31.35.


Radio Stocks

Here's how stocks fared on Tuesday

Company Symbol Close Change Company Symbol Close Change

Arbitron

ARB

38.00

unch

Jeff-Pilot

JP

50.14

-0.69

Beasley

BBGI

15.46

-0.02

Journal Comm.

JRN

17.92

-0.03

Citadel CDL
12.89 -0.01

Radio One, Cl. A

ROIA

14.61

+0.09

Clear Channel

CCU

32.19

+0.40

Radio One, Cl. D

ROIAK

14.51

+0.11

Cox Radio

CXR

14.95

unch

Regent

RGCI

5.75

unch

Cumulus

CMLS

14.51

-0.34

Saga Commun.

SGA

16.90

-0.14

Disney

DIS

23.88

+0.34

Salem Comm.

SALM

26.53

-0.23

Emmis

EMMS

18.63

+0.11

Sirius Sat. Radio

SIRI

3.35

+0.11

Entercom

ETM

32.91

-0.01

Spanish Bcg.

SBSA

9.72

-0.19

Entravision

EVC

7.83

+0.02

Univision

UVN

31.35

-0.35

Fisher

FSCI

47.47

-0.18

Viacom, Cl. A

VIA

35.91

-0.02

Gaylord

GET

31.15

-0.05

Viacom, Cl. B

VIAb

35.45

-0.10

Hearst-Argyle

HTV

25.04

+0.04

Westwood One

WON

20.50

-0.29

Interep

IREP

0.96

+0.08

XM Sat. Radio

XMSR

29.48

-0.40

International Bcg.

IBCS

0.02

unch

-

-

-

-

-


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NAB Day Time Planner


The following brokers will be attending the NAB. Call or email to make your appointment in advance.

American Media Services,
Todd Fowler, Office 843-972-2200, Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]

Cobb Corp.,
Denis LeClair [email protected]
Joel B. Day
[email protected]
Office 202-478-3737,
Manchester Grand Hyatt

Gordon Rice Associates,
Gordon Rice,
Office 843-884-3590,
Manchester Grand Hyatt,
[email protected]

Kozacko Media Services,
Dick Kozacko,
Office 607-733-7138,
Cell 607-738-1219,
Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]

Patrick Communications,
Larry Patrick, Greg Guy
Office 410-740-0250,
Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]




September Digital Magazine

Complimentary Report
One on One
PHD's
Patrick McNew
The man who controls
the Chrysler Group auto bucks

Quarterly Deals:
4.1 Billion spent on broadcast properties since the thaw
RBR/TVBR Observation:
Where is action? We got it.


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Two more glum views
from Wall Street
James Marsh at S.G. Cowen & Co. and Gordon Hodge at Thomas Weisel Partners have lowered their estimates for Q3 and Q4 - - and say 2005 is looking iffy as well. Marsh is estimating that September radio revenues were up 2.8%, just enough to make the quarter flat after the losses of July and August. But he believes national spot was down 2%, finishing in negative territory for each month of the quarter. Hodge has cut his 2004 growth estimate to 1.7% from 4.3% and 2005 to 2.3% from his previous 5% and 2005 estimates not much rosier. 10/05/04 RBR #194

Emmis, Bonneville pull
a blockbuster swap
Cash, licenses and no small amount of radio station hardware will be changing hands as Bonneville sends WLUP-FM Chicago and 70M dollars to Emmis in exchange for three stations in Phoenix. All told, RBR estimates 210M in value is going in each direction. Bonneville, while retaining four FMs in the Windy City, gains entry into another top-20 market, getting AC KKLT-FM, Newser KTAR-AM and Sports KMVP-AM. RBR observation: Is the dealing done? We don't think so. Emmis retains what is now an orphan in the age of consolidation. That'd be KKFR-FM in Phoenix. We will not be at all surprised to see the Urban Contemporary outlet sod to either an in-market owner or a format specialist. Radio One, are you reading this? 10/05/04 RBR #194

FCC tries to pull
consumers into DTV
Get it!" is the theme of FCC Chairman Michael Powell's new initiative to tug the American viewer into the digital TV transition. A new web portal - - www.dtv.gov - - has been launched as a one-stop information source for consumers ready to take the plunge. Powell hopes concumser will get DTV - - get the set, get the connection, get the content. TVBR observation: Ok Mr. Powell since you will not let consumers go it alone how about shipping us three digital sets but no smaller than 35 inch flat screen. Education is important but it will not come from a dot gov website. NAB President/CEO Eddie Fritts said it the best in April 2002, DTV, then, is a consumer driven product. His statement still holds true today. 10/05/04 TVBR #194

August revenue figures
disappoint - again!
We all knew it was going to be another disappointing month for radio revenues, but now we have the official numbers from the RAB. Total revenues were down 1%, with local flat and national spot off 5%. Spinmeisters dug down to find a silver lining in this dark cloud in markets 31 through 100, showing local increase of 8%.
RBR observation: Flat ain't growth folks! That silver lining in markets 31 through 100 means local is working hard. Don't know what categories and this is where forward pacing would help all in the business. Radio is local and not packed stacked and racked. Now all will wait for the string of conference calls to come with their bad news and Wall Street will pick at radios bones. We have said this before and will say it again, "Stop sucking up to Wall St. They are moving on anyway. Take your big time cash flow and go private. Radio is no longer capable of the growth they want anyway. We were better without them. A few are rich, most are not." 10/04/04 RBR #193

General Sales Manager
Los Angeles. Opportunity of a lifetime. 5 years radio sales management experience. EEO. Reply to: [email protected]

Local Sales Manager
Cumulus Broadcasting of Shreveport seeking a LSM. The person hired for this very important position will have the ability to train, motivate, write and supervise proposals, close sales with A/E's and hit or exceed monthly and quarterly local sales budgets.

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