Welcome to RBR's Daily Epaper
Volume 21, Issue 196, Jim Carnegie, Editor & Publisher
Thursday Morning October 7th, 2004

From the NAB in San Diego...

Stern reaction muted in San Diego
It was the big "gee whiz" topic in the halls of the NAB Radio Show in San Diego - - "did you hear about Howard Stern?" But despite the interest from a gossip point of view, there appeared to be little concern that Stern's defection to satellite radio will have any big impact on the terrestrial radio industry. That may be because so many of the stations which carry Stern are owned by Infinity which, with parent company Viacom, is not a member of the NAB. | More... |

Finance seminar:
Stocks in the tank, but station prices still high
"Radio is the caboose on the ad track to recovery," said Bear Stearns analyst Victor Miller as he kicked off the broadcast financing session that opened the NAB Radio Show in San Diego. He reviewed the glum facts that everyone in the audience already knew - - that radio stocks are down over 33% this year because of soft ad sales. Going forward, he sees a division in prospects - - with healthy growth for niche players in Spanish, Urban and Religious radio, OK growth for groups who don't compete with those niche players (such as Cumulus and Citadel), and no growth for groups who do compete with the niche players, including industry giant Clear Channel. | More... |

Arbitron about ready to talk about PPM costs
Want to know what it's going to cost to subscribe to ratings from Arbitron's Portable People Meter (PPM)? Arbitron VP Jay Guyther says the company has committed to give the radio industry a range of PPM cost estimates by the end of this year, although he warned that there will be some important variables, such as whether or not Arbitron strikes a joint venture with Nielsen to use PPM for TV and cable as well as radio. Giving an update on the upcoming PPM test in Houston, Guyther said 26 of 53 radio stations have agreed to encode - - and he remains hopeful of convincing Infinity, Cox and Radio One to join in. The tally is better in video, with 15 of 17 TV stations committed to encode, along with 34 of 45 local cable outlets. Guyther also said Arbitron has gotten interest from XM and Sirius, who want to find out how encoding will work with their satellite programming channels. Another new feature in the Houston test will be having audio encoding at six to eight retail outlets and public sports arenas to test how PPM records listening to specialized audio. Arbitron insists it is still up to broadcasters whether PPM will be put into commercial use, but the company is already talking about an aggressive roll-out schedule. The company is hoping to win Media Rating Council accreditation for the Houston PPM operation by the end of 2005. Guyther says commercial operation could begin in Houston by late 2006 if broadcasters sign on. The company could then have 50-100 markets using PPM by 2012.


Radio News ®

Howard Stern moving to Sirius in 2006
As he's been vowing since the FCC crackdown on indecency, Howard Stern, the "King of All Media" is moving to satellite radio--Sirius--beginning 1/1/06. The five-year contract signed two days ago has him program three channels--two basic, one premium--after his Infinity deal expires. The Sirius deal expires 12/31/10. In an 8-K filing, Sirius estimates that Stern only would need to generate approximately one million incremental subscribers in order to cover the costs of the deal. Aggregate fixed obligations under the deal are 100 million per year. These costs include production and operating costs for the show, including compensation of show cast and staff, overhead, construction costs for a dedicated studio, a budget for the development of additional programming and marketing concepts, and payments to Stern and his agent Don Buchwald Associates. "It has been my dream to have the top-rated show in radio since I was five years old," said Stern. "Sirius - the future of radio - will take this dream to a whole new level as I bring my fans my show my way. It will be the best radio they will ever hear." Stern brings Infinity 175 million in annual ad revenue and 27 million in profits, syndicated on 45 affiliates. Infinity issued the following statement: "We at Infinity have enjoyed our years with Howard. We wish him well in his new foray into the world of pay subscription radio, beginning in 2006." Shares of Sirius shot up nearly 18% on the news.

RBR observation: This is a shot in the arm for both satellite firms. Stern is the first big national talent to cross over the air waves. At this point it is it doesn't matter if Sirius stock moves the key is having the talent and content with the potential for all the cult listeners of Stern to follow with the purchase of satellite radio. Like in real-estate it only takes that right one to walk through the door and say sold. Stern is the first part of the issue of here comes da satellite. The next factor is seeing who and or what Infinity and affilates will follow with when Stern is off the air. Bets are now being placed on: Will Infinity pull Stern immediately or leave him on the air to pump his move? This is not going to be an easy replacement.

Judge rules Rush's medical records were properly seized
Rush Limbaugh's medical records were properly seized by investigators seeking information on alleged illegal drug use, an appeals court ruled Wednesday. State investigators had raided the offices of Limbaugh's doctors seeking info on whether he illegally tried to buy prescription painkillers. Limbaugh still hasn't been charged with a crime and the investigation had been put on hold pending this decision. | More... |


Compromise reached: Indecency fines to 500K
Sen. John Ensign (R-NV) was able to get senators and representatives working on the DoD authorization bill to agree to a new FCC indecency fine cap of 500K dollars. He had attempted to get the matter our of the DoD bill entirely, but changed his tune when other items tied to the indecency measure were stripped out. The compromise measure, which received a stamp of approval from the bill's Senate shepherd, Sam Brownback (R-KS), and members of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, also allows fines against individual performers, sets a timeline for FCC action on indecency complaints, mandates an annual FCC report to Congress on the matter, and urges the National Association of Broadcasters to adopt program standards. "This is a necessary response to the ever-increasing amount of indecent material over the airwaves to which our children are subjected," said Ensign. "We need a new era of responsibility from broadcasters and performers alike." He added, "Parents should be able to watch primetime television and events like the Super Bowl without fear that their children will be subjected to indecent material." The measure still needs approval from each house of Congress.

RBR observation: Members of the Senate voted nearly unanimously this summer not only to up the indecency fines, but to attack gratuitous broadcast violence and repudiate the 6/2/03 FCC ownership ruling. These last two items figured to hit some speed bumps in conference. But now senators such as Ensign can have it both ways - - they've come down against excessive media ownership concentration and have a vote to prove it if they so desire, while not doing anything at all to thwart excessive media ownership concentration. The phrase "double-edged sword" is supposed to mean thawt you may as easily be harmed as inflict harm with your own double-edge. In this case, however, it means that most senators can be pro- or anti-consolidation as it fits their needs. A double-edged sword, indeed.

Scott Studios sells to dMarc Broadcasting
Like Jay Leno letting Conan take over "The Tonight Show" in 2009, Dave Scott-founder and CEO of Scott Studios-announces his retirement in three years. His Scott Studios Corp., Computer Concepts Corp. and Scott Concepts Corp. have been sold to dMarc Broadcasting of Newport Beach, CA (Parent is dMarc Networks). Dave Scott remains President. For the rest of his tenure, he promises no operational changes in products supported, employees or location/phone numbers of Kansas and Dallas offices. dMarc Broadcasting is a newly formed technology and media company providing market-leading digital solutions and media services to the broadcast industry. | More... |

Campaign ad watch
More cash is going into Campaign 2004. Here's a look at a few more examples. Focus on the Family is launching a major campaign urging Hispanics to take the values with them into the voting booth. A multi-pronged ad campaign will use radio, TV, print and the Internet. The organization says it already has a Spanish-language program which is carried on about a third of US Hispanic-formatted radio stations. A new 527 called Americans for Coal Jobs Voter Fund is taking to the airwaves in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia with an ad flight critical of John Kerry, pointing out his pro-environmental voting record has hurt the coal industry. The National Taxpayers Union Foundation is running a four-part radio series in Alaska focusing on tax issues and their effects on residents of the state. It's started already in Anchorage and Fairbanks, and will hit most rural areas of the state as well. But don't get too excited - - the total ad budget is said to be 25K dollars.


RBR to Chart your Future at the NAB San Diego
Discuss your editorial views and observations with the RBR staff attending the NAB Radio conference. Interested in what RBR has planned for 2005? Your once a year opportunity to ask your questions face to face. Get answers, state your needs and RBR will help you succeed in 2005.
We will be at the Grand Hyatt Tuesday Oct. 5th to the evening of Thursday Oct. 7th.

Jim Carnegie, Publisher & Editor, Jack Messmer, Executive Editor,
Just leave a message at the Grand Hyatt
June Barnes
, Director of Marketing - Cell Phone - 803.447.8717


Adbiz ©

Captain D's radio campaign
named best in industry
Captain D's Seafood Restaurants announced that it has been awarded a 2004 Excellence in Radio Advertising Award from the restaurant industry's weekly news publication, Nation's Restaurant News. This is the only award that specifically recognizes advertising excellence in the restaurant industry. The 580-unit chain won "Best Radio Campaign" in the over 500 million sales category for its "Louise" radio spots. Captain D's SVP/Marketing, Charles Bruce, picked up the award 10/4 in front of 800 restaurant industry leaders at the Multi-Unit Food Service Operators show in LA. "We are very pleased to have our radio spots be recognized as some of the best work from 2004 in front of the restaurant industry," says Bruce. "Not only was the Louise campaign funny and memorable, but it was also effective as it helped us set record sales levels in our last fiscal year. But, just like everything in the restaurant industry, our creative work continues to evolve as we strive to make it even better." The radio spots were created and produced by the Kansas City office of Sullivan Higdon & Sink, Captain D's advertising agency.

Ford signs deal for on-air car giveaways
In an echo of Oprah Winfrey's wildly successful car giveaway promotion stunt with Pontiac's G6 (we interviewed Pontiac marketing chief Mark-Hans Richer-Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV), AdAge reports Ford Motor Co. has signed a deal to give away free vehicles to families appearing in ABC TV's Extreme Makeover: Home Edition show.

Ogilvy wins Delta account after review
Delta Air Lines has handed its $25 million creative and media account to Ogilvy & Mather and MindShare, according to executives close to the matter. The last review stage also included BBDO Worldwide and OMD. Brighthouse Atlanta and Starcom were eliminated from the review in August. Brighthouse had the account for just over a year, after winning it from Leo Burnett, which had it from 2000-03. Saatchi & Saatchi held the account from 1997-2000.

Arbitron signs multi-product
Scarborough deal with Discovery
Arbitron announced today that it has signed a contract with Discovery Communications to provide the global real-world media and entertainment company with local and national consumer insights from Scarborough Research. Under the agreement, Arbitron will provide Discovery's Affiliate Sales and Marketing division with national and local consumer research for 75 markets from Scarborough Research, a leader in consumer patterns and media usage. The agreement also includes Scarborough's custom Hispanic studies for 10 markets. "Increasingly, cable networks use consumer research to quantify the appeal of their programming and to better match network offerings with marketing priorities," said Carol Edwards, VP/Cable Sales, Arbitron. "Through Scarborough's data, Arbitron provides valuable national and local market intelligence that enables cable networks to strategically demonstrate their value to affiliates and advertisers." "Scarborough's consumer research is a tremendous resource for cable networks seeking to understand their audiences, gain carriage and increase their market share." Discovery joins Arts & Entertainment TV Networks, Fox Sports Network, MTV Networks, NBC Cable Networks, and The Weather Channel-in utilizing consumer research from Scarborough.


Media, Markets & Money tm

Camden Bunyards? Shinn Hot buy followed by sale
It's been about a week since Charles Shinn announced his intention to buy a quartet of stations in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Now we presumably find out where some of the bread will come to pay for them: He's selling a trio downstate in Camden. Greg Guy of brokerage firm Patrick Communications, who had a hand in both deals, told RBR that Shinn's US Stations LLC is selling KAMD-FM/KMGC-FM of Camden and KCXY-FM of East Camden to Jay Bunyard's Radio Works Inc. for 1.45M dollars. The stations cover a wide swath of the formatic sprctrum, playing AC, Urban and Country, respectively. Shinn's 4M acquisition is giving him four stations in the Hot Springs area (9/30/04 RBR Daily Epaper #191). The stations are Classic Rock KYDL-FM, Country KQUS-FM, News-Talk KZNG-AM, all of Hot Springs, and AC KLXQ-FM, which is licensed to nearby Mountain Pine.


Washington Beat

SCOTUS stays away from do not call
The national do not call list, which was established by the FCC and the FTC to protect consumers from unwanted sales and telemarketing calls in their homes, will not get a hearing in the Supreme Court. A lower court ruled that the list was a constitutional balancing of the telemarketers' right of free speech and consumers' right to privacy. Charitable organizations, poll/research firms and politicians still have the right to call private residences.

RBR observation: At our household, we almost never used to participate in polls, because they were just one more annoying call in the daily barrage. Now we almost always participate. That is the silver lining of the do not call list. We hope that radio and television research firms are finding this to be the case in other households as well.


Transactions

WPHB-AM & WUBZ-FM Philipsburg PA from Moshannon Valley Broadcasting Network Inc. to Magnum Broadcasting Inc.

KKXO-AM Eugene-Springfield OR (Eugene) from McKenzie River Broadcasting Company Inc. to Churchill Communications LLC.

| More Details |


Stock Talk

Viacom not hurt by Stern announcement
Perhaps because the move isn't imminent, but the announcement that Viacom will be losing Howard Stern to Sirius Satellite Radio surprisingly only sent the stock higher. Viacom A shares were up 27 cents and Viacom B up 32 cents. Of course, the announcement sent Sirius stock up 52 cents for the day, or 14%. Salem was the biggest loser, dropping 98 cents for the day.


Radio Stocks

Here's how stocks fared on Wednesday

Company Symbol Close Change Company Symbol Close Change

Arbitron

ARB

38.00

unch

Jeff-Pilot

JP

50.38

+0.24

Beasley

BBGI

15.25

-0.21

Journal Comm.

JRN

17.88

-0.04

Citadel CDL
13.25 +0.36

Radio One, Cl. A

ROIA

14.61

unch

Clear Channel

CCU

32.40

+0.21

Radio One, Cl. D

ROIAK

14.48

-0.03

Cox Radio

CXR

15.00

+0.05

Regent

RGCI

5.82

+0.07

Cumulus

CMLS

14.53

+0.02

Saga Commun.

SGA

17.14

+0.24

Disney

DIS

24.34

+0.46

Salem Comm.

SALM

25.55

-0.98

Emmis

EMMS

18.96

+0.33

Sirius Sat. Radio

SIRI

3.87

+0.52

Entercom

ETM

33.20

+0.29

Spanish Bcg.

SBSA

10.10

+0.38

Entravision

EVC

8.15

+0.32

Univision

UVN

31.65

+0.30

Fisher

FSCI

48.00

+0.53

Viacom, Cl. A

VIA

36.18

+0.27

Gaylord

GET

31.27

+0.12

Viacom, Cl. B

VIAb

35.77

+0.32

Hearst-Argyle

HTV

24.70

-0.34

Westwood One

WON

20.43

-0.07

Interep

IREP

0.86

-0.10

XM Sat. Radio

XMSR

29.00

-0.48

International Bcg.

IBCS

0.02

unch

-

-

-

-

-


Have a news story you'd like to share? [email protected]

Bounceback

We want to
hear from you.

This is your column, so send your comments to [email protected]


Upped & Tapped

Interep names Feniger EVP/Network Ops
Interep announced that Bruce Feniger has been upped to EVP/Network Operations. In addition to his new role, Feniger will continue as Regional Sales Executive for the New York office. His new responsibilities include managing the day-to-day sales activities and monitoring performance of the Interep Network Division. He will work closely with all Interep offices in each city to develop network goals and sales strategies for specific agencies, as well as to develop new business for the network division.


More News Headlines

NAB Day Time Planner


The following brokers will be attending the NAB. Call or email to make your appointment in advance.

American Media Services,
Todd Fowler, Office 843-972-2200, Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]

Cobb Corp.,
Denis LeClair [email protected]
Joel B. Day
[email protected]
Office 202-478-3737,
Manchester Grand Hyatt

Gordon Rice Associates,
Gordon Rice,
Office 843-884-3590,
Manchester Grand Hyatt,
[email protected]

Kozacko Media Services,
Dick Kozacko,
Office 607-733-7138,
Cell 607-738-1219,
Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]

Patrick Communications,
Larry Patrick, Greg Guy
Office 410-740-0250,
Manchester Grand Hyatt, [email protected]




September Digital Magazine

Complimentary Report
One on One
PHD's
Patrick McNew
The man who controls
the Chrysler Group auto bucks

Quarterly Deals:
4.1 Billion spent on broadcast properties since the thaw
RBR/TVBR Observation:
Where is action? We got it.


Read RBR in 2 simple steps:
1.Create a simple account with Zinio and download the free Zinio Reader.
2. You can then download the free September Issue of RBR


RBR Radar 2004
Click on these issues for Radio News you won't read any where else. RBR--First, Accurate, and Independently Owned.

Viacom and SBS pact for cross-platform assault on Univision
Les Moonves, Co-President/Co-COO of Viacom said his next move was the Hispanic consumer now he will do it with a strategic alliance targeting Hispanic consumers through a multimedia platform that would include radio, TV and outdoor throughout the US. Partner is Raul Alarcon, Chairman/CEO of SBS.
RBR observation: Forget about this move going against Clear Channel's recent announcement to convert 20-25 stations to Spanish-language, this is head-to head with Univision. This is Viacom's big move into the Hispanic marketplace. Viacom cable nets could be converted to Hispanic programming and may come up with additional nets. This is a very strong move for SBS as well. With cross-platforming, SBS can build larger stations and really get penetration in perhaps larger markets in the Southwest. Viacom now has access to is the #1 Hispanic language station in LA, NY, Miami and possibly San Francisco when the KBAA format switch is done. Interep will benefit as well, as it currently reps Infinity and SBS stations. Infinity will likely decide, a la Clear Channel, to convert some of their weaker-performing stations to Hispanic as well. Remember, radio is a bigger force in the marketplace for Hispanic than it is for general. 10/06/04 RBR #195

Mandel talks to RBR/TVBR re:
ROI shortfalls on creative
Jon Mandel, Chairman/MediaCom US and Chief Global Buying Officer at MediaCom Worldwide, says he's tired of media-side blame for lackluster ROI, and that if marketers are not getting the ROI they expect from their TV advertising, they should take a closer look at the creative. "Wall Street has screwed up the media business."
RBR observation: Can I get an Amen to that statement on Wall Street. 10/06/04 RBR #195

Two more glum views
from Wall Street
James Marsh at S.G. Cowen & Co. and Gordon Hodge at Thomas Weisel Partners have lowered their estimates for Q3 and Q4 - - and say 2005 is looking iffy as well. Marsh is estimating that September radio revenues were up 2.8%, just enough to make the quarter flat after the losses of July and August. But he believes national spot was down 2%, finishing in negative territory for each month of the quarter. Hodge has cut his 2004 growth estimate to 1.7% from 4.3% and 2005 to 2.3% from his previous 5% and 2005 estimates not much rosier. 10/05/04 RBR #194

Emmis, Bonneville pull
a blockbuster swap
Cash, licenses and no small amount of radio station hardware will be changing hands as Bonneville sends WLUP-FM Chicago and 70M dollars to Emmis in exchange for three stations in Phoenix. All told, RBR estimates 210M in value is going in each direction. Bonneville, while retaining four FMs in the Windy City, gains entry into another top-20 market, getting AC KKLT-FM, Newser KTAR-AM and Sports KMVP-AM. RBR observation: Is the dealing done? We don't think so. Emmis retains what is now an orphan in the age of consolidation. That'd be KKFR-FM in Phoenix. We will not be at all surprised to see the Urban Contemporary outlet sod to either an in-market owner or a format specialist. Radio One, are you reading this? 10/05/04 RBR #194

General Sales Manager
Los Angeles. Opportunity of a lifetime. 5 years radio sales management experience. EEO. Reply to: [email protected]

Local Sales Manager
Cumulus Broadcasting of Shreveport seeking a LSM. The person hired for this very important position will have the ability to train, motivate, write and supervise proposals, close sales with A/E's and hit or exceed monthly and quarterly local sales budgets.

See
Radio Careers for more info on this once in a lifetime shot.
Find Your Radio Career
Post Your Companies Job Openings

Other Links
Cancel RBR's Daily Epaper

State Associations
Contact Us

New world headquarters:
RBR, TVBR, Media Mix
2050 Old Bridge Road, Suite B-01
Lake Ridge, VA 22192

Phone: 703-492-8191
News fax: 703-997-8601
©2004 Radio Business Report/Television Business Report, Inc. All rights reserved.
Radio Business Report -- 2050 Old Bridge Road, Suite B-01, Lake Ridge, VA 22192
-- Phone: 703-492-8191