John Strum, Executive Director, Newspaper Association of America, as reported by eMarketer, said "Two years ago search engines were not viewed as much of a threat, (but) over the past year newspapers have recognized their effect."
In reporting the latest data according to the Audit Bureau of Circulations, eMarketer concludes that the threat is real. Daily US newspaper circulation dropped 1.9% in the six-month period ending 3/31, which was the largest decline since 1995-1996, when circulation fell nearly 2.1%. Sunday circulation declined 2.5% over the last six months, compared with the same period a year ago.
Average Weekday Circulation for Select US Newspapers
Six Months Ending March 31, 2005
|
|
Circulation (millions)
|
% Chg From Prior Year
|
USA Today
|
2.28
|
0.05%
|
Wall Street Journal
|
2.07
|
-0.80
|
New York Times
|
1.14
|
0.24
|
Los Angeles Times + Sat
|
.91
|
-6.47
|
Washington Post
|
.75
|
-2.68
|
New York Daily News
|
.74
|
-1.54
|
New York Post
|
.68
|
.01
|
Chicago Tribune
|
.57
|
-6.64
|
Houston Chronicle + Sat
|
.53
|
-3.92
|
San Francisco Chronicle
|
.47
|
-6.07
|
Source: ABC, April 2005
|
The rate of decline has been 0.5% to 1% since newspaper circulation peaked in the mid-1980s, but this year's drop alarms many in the business. John Morton, a newspaper industry analyst, said "I don't see any bright spots and I don't see any reasonable expectation this is going to change anytime soon."
According to the Newspaper Association of America and Scarborough Research, adult readership continues to fall (as a % of the population) except for the younger and older readers, although only 19% of the 18-34 year olds rank newspapers as their primary source for current information, says the Carnegie Corporation.